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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AM
Number of posts: 8,069

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Democratic US Representatives from MD likely to get elected the US Senate in 2024 if Cardin retires.

Sarbanes-D(MD-3)
Raskin-D(MD-8)
Trone-D(MD-6)


MD-3
2006 (D+7) 64-34
2008 (D+7) 70-30
2010 (D+7) 61-36
2012 (D+9) 67-30
2014 (D+9) 60-40
2016 (D+9) 63-34
2018 (D+13) 69-28
2020 (D+13) 70-30
2022 (D+10) 60-40


MD-8
2016 (D+11) 61-34
2018 (D+14) 68-30
2020 (D+14) 68-32
2022 (D+29) 80-18


MD-6
2018 (D+6) 59-38
2020 (D+6) 59-39
2022 (D+2) 55-45

Sarbanes-D or Raskin-D

Sarbanes-D
Baltimore
Anne Arundel
Baltimore City
Howard
Harford
Eastern Shore

Raskin-D
Montgomery
Prince Georgeís
Southern MD

Trone-D
Frederick
Carroll
Western MD







Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Jan 8, 2023, 04:38 PM (0 replies)

Democratic US Representatives likely to run for the US Senate in 2024.?

AZ(Gallego-D or Stanton-D)
CA(Schiff-D or Khanna-D or Porter-D)
MD(Sarbanes-D or Raskin-D)
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)

Based on seniority
AZ(Gallego-D)2015
CA(Khanna-D)2017
MD(Raskin-D)2017
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019

AZ(Gallego-D)2015
MD(Raskin-D)2017
CA(Porter-D)2019
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019

CA(Schiff-D)2001
AZ(Gallego-D)2015
MD(Raskin-D)2017
MI(Slotkin-D or Steven-D)

CA(Schiff-D)2001
MD(Sarbanes-D/Raskin-D)2007/2017
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019
AZ(Stanton-D)2019

CA(Schiff-D/Khanna-D)2001/2017
MD(Raskin-D)2017
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019
AZ(Stanton-D)2019

MD(Sarbanes-D/Raskin-D)2007/2017
CA(Porter-D)2019
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019
AZ(Stanton-D)2019

MD(Sarbanes-D)2007
CA(Khanna-D/Porter-D)2017/2019
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019
AZ(Stanton-D)2019

MD(Sarbanes-D)2007
AZ(Gallego-D)2015
CA(Khanna-D/Porter-D)2017/2019
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019




Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Jan 8, 2023, 01:27 PM (0 replies)

Democratic US Representatives likely to run for the US Senate in 2024 and get elected.

AZ(Gallego-D or Stanton-D)
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D or Khanna-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
ME(Golden-D)
MD(Sarbanes-D or Raskin-D)
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)
VT(Balint-D)

Based on seniority.
CA(Schiff-D) 2001
MD(Sarbanes-D) 2007
AZ(Gallego-D) 2015
DE(Blunt Rochester-D) 2017
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D) 2019
ME(Golden-D) 2019
VT(Balint-D) 2023

CA(Schiff-D)2001
AZ(Gallego-D)2015
MD(Raskin-D) 2017
DE(Blunt Rochester-D) 2017
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D) 2019
ME(Golden-D) 2019
VT(Balint-D) 2023

CA(Schiff-D or Khanna-D)2001 or 2017
MD(Raskin-D)2017
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)2017
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019
AZ(Stanton-D)2019
ME(Golden-D)2019
VT(Balint-D)2023


MD(Sarbanes-D or Raskin-D) 2007/2017
DE(Blunt Rochester-D) 2017
CA(Porter-D) 2019
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D) 2019
AZ(Stanton-D) 2019
ME(Golden-D) 2019
VT(Balint-D) 2023

MD(Sarbanes-D)2007
CA(Khanna-D)2017
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)2017
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019
AZ(Stanton-D)2019
ME(Golden-D)2019
VT(Balint-D)2023

MD(Sarbanes-D)2007
AZ(Gallego-D)2015
CA(Khanna-D)2017
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)2017
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019
ME(Golden-D)2019
VT(Balint-D)2023

MD(Sarbanes-D)2007
AZ(Gallego-D)2015
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)2017
CA(Porter-D)2019
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019
ME(Golden-D)2019
VT(Balint-D)2023

AZ(Gallego-D)2015
CA(Khanna-D)2017
MD(Raskin-D)2017
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)2017
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019
ME(Golden-D)2019
VT(Balint-D)2023

AZ(Gallego-D)2015
MD(Raskin-D)2017
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)2017
CA(Porter-D)2019
MI(Slotkin-D or Stevens-D)2019
ME(Golden-D)2019
VT(Balint-D)2019











Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Jan 8, 2023, 05:54 AM (0 replies)

Dana Nessel is not running.

She was on the MSNBC show Ayman. He asked her if she plans on running for Stabenowís US Senate seat, she said she plans on remaining on her current job.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jan 7, 2023, 09:32 PM (1 replies)

Who is going to be the Democratic Nominee for the 2024 MD US Senate Election if OPEN?

Jon Cardin-D(Ben Cardinís nephew)
John Sarbanes-D(Paul Sarbanesís son)
US Representatives
Jamie Raskin-D
David Trone-D
Glenn Ivey-D running for the US Senate after serving 1 term in the US House will not matter since there were MD US Senators that were elected to the US Senate after serving 1 term in the US House.
1)Glenn Beall Jr. US House from(1969-1971)
Glenn Ivey has served has a Prince Georgeís County state attorney from 2003 to 2011- 12 years before getting elected to the US House.
Statewide Elected officials Governor Wes Moore,Lt Governor Aruna Miller,
Attorney General Anthony Brown and Comptroller Brooke Lierman will serve out their 1st full 4 year term in their current office.
County Executives
Baltimore County- John Olszewski jr-D
Howard County- Calvin Ball III-D
Prince Georgeís County- Angela Alsobrooks-D

County Executives Olszewski,Ball,and Alsobrooks have to leave their current office in 2026 due to term limits.
Olszewski is the county executive who is best candidate to run for statewide office in MD
Olszewski won the Baltimore County Executive Election in
2018 by a 58-42 percent margin.
2022 by a 64-36 percent margin.
Olszewski served 2 terms in the MD State House of Delegates from 2006-2015.
Baltimore County is the 3rd largest county in MD.

The best Democratic candidates for the 2024 MD US Senate Election is
1)John Olszewski Jr. because he represents Baltimore and he is 40 years old. Olszewski can serve in the US Senate for more than 5 terms.
2)John Sarbanes because he represents Baltimore,Anne Arundel,Howard,and Carroll county in the US House. His Congressional District MD-3 is now a D+10 according to the 2020 census. Sarbanes won MD-3 by a 20 percent margin in 2022
During the 2010 census, MD-3 was D+13
Sarbanes won MD-3 by a 40 percent margin in 2020,41 percent margin in 2018,29 percent margin in 2016(MD-3 was D+9) 19 percent in 2014, 37 percent margin in 2012, 25 percent margin in 2010(MD-3 was D+6),40 percent margin in 2008 and 30 percent in 2006(MD-3 was D+7).
3)Jamie Raskin won MD-8 which is now a D+29 according to the 2020 by a 62 percent margin,37 percent margin in 2020(MD-8 was D+14),38 percent in 2018, and 26 percent in 2016(MD-8 was D+11)
Sarbanes performed better than Raskin in 2016,2018,and 2020. The 2022 version of MD-8 is way more Democratic than the 2016 to 2020 version of MD-8. Montgomery County is way more Democratic than the Baltimore Area counties.
4)The two Prince Georgeís County Democrats US Representative Ivey and County Executive Alsobrooks never faced any Republican opposition. Iveyís MD-4 US House District is D+40 according to the 2022 census.


The Democratic nominee needs to win big in Anne Arundel county,Baltimore County,and Howard County.

Anne Arundel by a 10 percent margin.
Baltimore by a 30 percent margin.
Howard by a 30 percent margin.
Montgomery by a 45 percent margin.
Prince Georgeís by a 70 percent margin.
Baltimore City by a 70 percent margin.
Frederick by a 5 percent margin.
Charles by a 40 percent margin.

Democrats canít lose by more than 5 percent margin in
Dorchester
Kent
Somerset
Talbot
Wicomico
Democrats canít lose by more than 10 percent margin in
Calvert
Harford
St Maryís
Democrats canít lose by more than 15 percent margin in
Washington
Worcester
Democrats canít lose by more than 20 percent margin in
Cecil
Democrats canít lose by more than 25 percent margin in
Caroline
Carroll
Queen Anneís
Democrats canít lose by more than 30 percent margin in
Allegany
Democrats canít lose by more than 50 percent margin in
Garrett





















Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jan 7, 2023, 08:42 PM (0 replies)

The Democratic Nominee for every US Senate seat up for re-election in 2024.

Democratic Incumbents running for re-election in 2024.
CT(Murphy-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
ME(King-I)
MA(Warren-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
Open Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024.
AZ(Gallego-D or Stanton-D)
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D or Carney-D)
MD(Sarbanes-D or Raskin-D)
MI(Stevens-D or Slotkin-D)
Whitmer,Benson,Kildee and Levin have announced they are not running.
I will add Gilchrist and Nessel to the list since both of them are likely to run for Governor.
VT(Krowinski-D or Balint-D) Krowinskiís resume is similar to Balintís resume.
Balint-D(member of the state senate(2015-2023, majority leader 2017-2021, President Pro Tempore of the VT state senate(2021 to 2023)
Krowinski-D(member of the state house since 2013, served as majority leader from 2017-2021,
Speaker of the VT House of Representatives since 2021.
Democratic nominees in Republican held seats that Democrats might win.
FL(Murphy-D)
MO(Kunce-D)
TX(Allred-D)

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jan 7, 2023, 07:53 AM (0 replies)

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 MD US Senate Election if Ben Cardin retires and the

Democratic Candidates are US Representatives-
Glenn Ivey- Prince Georgeís County
Jamie Raskin- Montgomery County
John Sarbanes- Baltimore County.

Glenn Ivey is in his first term as member of the US House of Representatives but he has experience working in the US Senate as counsel to Democratic US Senators in the US Senate Whitewater committee. MD is a Democratic state that a black lawyer turn US House Member from Prince Georgeís County can win statewide in MD.

Jamie Raskin and John Sarbanes have more that 16 years legislative experience than Glenn Ivey.
Jamie Raskin served 10 years in the State Senate and 6 years in that US House.
John Sarbanes served 16 years in the US House.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Jan 6, 2023, 09:18 PM (1 replies)

What higher statewide elected office in MI are the lower statewide elected officials wil run for?

LG Garlin Gilchrist
SOS Jocelyn Benson
AG Dana Nessel.

Who will run and be the Democratic nominee for the
2024 MI US Senate Election(Stabenowís open seat)?
2026 MI Governors Election(Whitmer is term limited from running again.)?
2026 MI US Senate Election(Peters might surprise everyone and not seek re-election.)?


Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Jan 6, 2023, 07:30 AM (1 replies)

Who is going to be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 MD US Senate Election if Cardin retires and

the Democratic candidates are Alsobrooks,Raskin,Sarbanes,and/or Trone?
Alsobrooks is the only candidate that is not a member of the US House of Representive. Alsobrooks is the County Executive of one of the largest counties in MD. Alsobrooks will be the 1st black female US Senators in MD.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Jan 6, 2023, 03:41 AM (0 replies)

All of the 3 Democratic low level statewide elected officials in MI should run for the US Senate.

LG Gilchrist,SOS Benson,and AG Nessel are term limited from their current positions in 2026. Their next statewide elected office in MI is Governor in 2026 or US Senator in 2024 and 2028 if Gary Peters decides to retire.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Jan 6, 2023, 03:24 AM (0 replies)
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