nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalUS Senate seats that Democrats are likely to win in 2022.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D).
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D) vs Laxalt-R
48)AZ(Kelly-D) vs Brnovich-R
49)GA(Warnock-D) vs Walker-R
50)PA(Fetterman-D) vs Parnell-R
51)NH(Hassan-D) vs Sununu-R
52)WI(Barnes-D) vs Johnson-R
2022 IL Congressional Redistricting- Did IL-3(Lipinski/Newman) become less Democratic to protect
Underwood-D and Casten-D.
IL-3 went from +6D to +3D
IL-6 went from +3D to +6D
IL-14 went from +2R to +2D
Who should the Democrats recruit and nominate for the 2022 NH Governor's Race?
NH might be an open seats due to the possibility of Sununu-R running for the US Senate.
Annie McLane Kuster-D, the current US Representative from NH-2cd.
US Senate seats that Democrats are likely to win in 2022 by a landslide to narrow margin.
37)HI(Schatz-D)unopposed
38)CA(Padilla-D) vs another D(Jerome Horton) in the 11/2022 general election.
39)VT(Leahy-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NH(Hassan-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
In Blue States that currently have Republican Governors, Who is likely to be the Democratic nominee?
MD(Hogan-R is term limited) Rushern Baker-D. County Executive of Prince George County.(2010-2018) Democratic candidate for the 2018 MD Gubernatorial Election(made a strong 2nd place finish. Jealous-D 40% Baker-D 29%.)
MA(Baker-R is eligible to seek re-election.) Maura Healey-D(State Attorney General).
VT(Scott-R is going to seek re-election) T.J. Donovan-D(State Attorney General).
2022 US Gubernatorial Election Prediction.
AL(Ivey-R)1R
AK(Dunleavy-R)2R
AZ(Hobbs-D)1D
AR(Huckabee Sanders-R)3R
CA(Newsom-D)2D
CO(Polis-D)3D
CT(Lamont-D)4D
FL(Crist-D)5D
GA(Abrams-D)6D
HI(Green-D)7D
ID(Little-R)4R
IL(Pritzker-D)8D
IA(Reynolds-R)5R
KS(Kelly-D)9D
ME(Mills-D)10D
MD(Rushern Baker-D)11D
MA(Charlie Baker-R)6R
MI(Whitmer-D)12D
MN(Walz-D)13D
NE(Herbster-R)7R
NV(Sisolak-D)14D
NH(Ayotte-R)8R
NM(Lujan Grisham-D)15D
NY(Hochul-D)16D
OH(Cranley-D or Whaley-D)17D
OK(Stitt-R)9R
OR(Brown-D)18D
PA(Shapiro-D)19D
RI(McKee-D)20D
SC(McMaster-R)10R
SD(Noem-R)11R
TN(Lee-R)12R
TX(O’Rourke-D)21D
VT(Scott-R)13R
WI(Evers-D)22D
WY(Gordon-R)14R
2021
NJ(Murphy-D)23D
VA(McAuliffe-D)24D
2023
KY(Beshear-D)25D
LA(Richmond-D)26
MS(Reeves-R)15R
Not up for re-election until 2024
DE(Carney-D)27D
IN(Holcomb-R)16R
MO(Parson-R)17R
MT(Gianforte-R)18R
NC(Cooper-D)28D
ND(Durgum-R)19R
UT(Herbert-R)20R
WA(Inslee-D)29D
WV(Justice-R)21R
US House Seats that Democrats are likely to gain or lose in 2022.
Democrats lose
1)AZ-1(O’Halleren-D)
2)GA-6(McBath-D) or GA-7(Boudreaux-D)
3)IA-3(Axne-D)
4)MI-8(Slotkin-D) or MI-11(Stevens-D)
5)OH-13(OPEN Ryan-D)
6)PA-8(Cartwright-D)
7)PA-17(OPEN Lamb-D)
8)VA-7(Spanberger-D)
9)WI-3(OPEN Kind-D)
Democrats gain
1)CA-21
2)CA-25
3)CA-39
4)CO-8
5)OR-6
6)TX-37
Democrats will have a net loss of 3 US House seats in 2022.
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that Democrats are favored to win.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CT(Blumenthal-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)VT(Leahy-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NH(Hassan-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that Democrats have a greater than 50% chance of winning
Greater than 50% chance of winning.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)NH(Hassan-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Looking at the 4 top tier Democratic candidates
likely to challenge Kyrsten Sinema in 2024, Greg Stanton would be the perfect choice to defeat Sinema in the primary and defeat the likely Republican candidates Andy Biggs, Paul Gosar, Debbie Lasko, and David Schweikert. Stanton is a Mark Kelly type Democrat. He is the most experienced serving 9 years in the Phoenix City Council, 6 years as Mayor of Phoenix and 6 years in the US House of Representative.
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