nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalHow would the Democrats do if they nominated Erica Smith(NC) and Michael Franken(IA)?
Who should the Democrats nominate to defeat Scott(FL) and Cruz(TX) in 2024?
FL- US Representatives Stephanie Murphy-D or Darren Soto-D.
TX- US Representatives Lizzie Fletcher-D or Colin Allred-D.
US Senate seats that Democrats need to win in order to get 60 seats after 2022.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Leahy-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)IA(Finkenauer-D)
57)UT(McMullen-I)caucuses with the Democrats.
58)KY(Booker-D)
59)MO(Sifton-D)
60)IN(McDermott-D)
2022 US Senate Election Prediction, Democrats will end up with 50 to 51 seats.
Democrats will pick up PA but lose NH if Sununu-R decides to run. Democrats will hold onto NH if Sununu does not run. If Democrats have a great day in 11/2022, They will pick up WI and NC. Democrats are going to hold onto NV,AZ, and GA.
The safe D hold states are
CA
HI
VT
NY
MD
CT
WA
OR
IL
CO
I hear rumors the MD Governor Larry Hogan is
considering a run for the US Senate.
If Hogan wants to run for the US Senate, He will have an easier time in 2024. It will likely be an open seat(Ben Cardin is a retirement possibility) and the Democratic nominee is probably going to be Anthony Brown. The Hogan vs Brown 2024 MD US Senate race will be similar to the 2012 HI US Senate race between Lingle-R vs Hirono-D.
In 2002 HI Governors Race, Lingle narrowly defeat the sitting Lt Governor Hirono. Hirono then got elected to the US House of Representatives in 2004. In 2012 when Dan Akaka decided to retire from the US Senate, Lingle and Hirono both decided to run against each other again. Hirono defeated Lingle by a 25 percent margin.
Brown(D-MD) will defeat Hogan(R-MD) in the 2024 MD US Senate Race by a landslide margin.
I would also like to see MA Governor Charlie Baker run for the US Senate in 2026 against Ed Markey. Running in 2026 will force Baker to give up the MA governorship. Who is an easier target for Baker, Warren in 2024 or Markey in 2026?
If VT Governor Phil Scott decides to run for the US Senate, It will be when either Leahy or Sanders decide to retire. Who is going to retire or die first? Leahy or Sanders? Both of these men are in their 80s.
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a landslide to narrow margin.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NH(Hassan-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)FL(Demings-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)OH(Ryan-D)
Which Gallego would be a perfect candidate to challenge Sinema?
Ruben- the US Congressman ?
Kate- the Mayor of Phoenix ?
Ruben is an experienced legislator but Kate has a large constituency base being Mayor of Phoenix.
I was on the Politicalwire site and found out that
Ruben Gallego is the lefts favorite candidate to challenge Kyrsten Sinema. What about Kate Gallego?
Current Mayor of Phoenix, Rubens ex.
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that Democrats are strongly and slightly favored to win.
Strongly Favored.
37)VT(Leahy-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Slightly Favored.
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)NH(Hassan-D)
How many US Senators got elected to the US Senate after
Serving one term in the US House of Representative?
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