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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
November 19, 2017

2018 and 2020 US Senate Elections will be the Year incoming US Senators are female.

2018
Female US Senators seeking re-election in 2018 strongly favored to get re-elected
CA(Feinstein-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NE(Fischer-R)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
Female US Senators seeking re-election in 2018 slightly favored to get re-elected
MO(McCaskill-D)
ND(Heitkamp-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
Incoming female US Senators post 2018
AZ(Sinema-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
TN(Blackburn-R)
2020
Female US Senators seeking re-election in 2020 strongly favored to get re-elected.
WV(Moore Capito-R)
Female US Senators seeking re-election in 2020 slightly favored to get re-elected.
IA(Ernst-R)
NH(Shaheen-D)
Female US Senators seeking re-election in 2020 likely to be replaced by a female
ME(Collins-R/Pingree-D)
Incoming female US Senators post 2020
CO(DeGette-D)
IL(Madigan-D)
KS(Jenkins-R)
MA(Clark-D)
NC(Cowell-D)



November 19, 2017

2018 Colorado governors and 2020 Colorado US Senate Race. Democratic Primary.

Democratic Primary Front runner for 2018 CO Governors Race is either
Mike Johnston- leader in fundraising or Jared Polis.
Whoever does not win the Democratic Nomination(runner up) for the 2018 CO Governors Race will run for the US Senate in 2020 and be the Democratic Nominee.
Hickenlooper runs for the US Presidency.
Perlmutter remains in the US House.

November 18, 2017

Democrats could end up with 60 US Senate Seats after 2020.

2017
Democrats gain AL(Jones-D) 49D 51R
2018
Democrats hold onto FL(Nelson-D),IN(Donnelly-D),MO(McCaskill-D),MT(Tester-D),ND(Heitkamp-D),OH(Brown-D),and WV(Manchin-D) and pick up AZ(Sinema-D) and NV(Rosen-D) 51D 49R
2020
Democrats hold onto AL(Jones-D),MI(Peters-D),MN(Franken-D),NH(Shaheen-D),and VA(Warner-D) and pick up:
AK(Begich-D) 52D 48R
AZ(Stanton-D) 53D 47R
CO(Joe Salazar-D) 54D 46R
GA(Evans-D) 55D 45R
IA(Boulton-D) 56D 44R
KY(Andy Beshear-D) 57D 43R
ME-OPEN(Hannah Pingree-D) 58D 42R
MT(Bullock-D) 59D 41R
NC(Ross-D) 60D 40R

November 18, 2017

2018 OH US House Race-Republican held US Congressional seats Democrats could pick up

1)OH-10 ( Turner-R) +4R Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley-D should drop out of the OH Governors Race and run for the OH-10CD US House Race against Turner-R. This is assuming Richard Cordray-D enters the OH Governors Race.
2)OH-1 ( Chabot-R) +5R
3)OH-14 ( Joyce-R) +5R
4)OH-12 (OPEN-Tiberi-R)+7R 2018 Special Election
5)OH-15 (Stivers-R)+7R
6)OH-18 (OPEN-Rennacci-R) +8R

November 18, 2017

2018 TX US House Race-Republican held Congressional Districts Democrats can pick up.

1)TX-23 ( Hurd-R) +1R
2)TX-32 ( Sessions-R) +5R
3)TX-7( Culberson-R) +7R
4)TX-6( Barton-R) +9R The worst of the worst.
5)TX-10 ( McCaul-R) +9R
6)TX-24 ( Marchant-R) +9R

November 18, 2017

If Doug Jones wins the 2017 AL US Senate Race and legislates like a moderate to liberal Democrat,

He should be the 2020 Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee. As the 2020 Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee, Jones can help the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee win FL,GA,NC,and TX-states Trump won in 2016 by a narrow to high single digit margin. Jones could also put AL,LA,MS,SC,and TN in play.
Jones being on the 2020 Democratic Presidential/Vice Presidential ticket can also help Democratic US Senate nominees in Southern states.
AL-Jones-D can decide against seeking re-election to the US Senate to focus on becoming the next VPOTUS. AL Democrats can nominate Former AL Supreme Court Chief Justice Sue Bell Cobb. Cobb can defeat the Moore loving Republican nominee.
GA-( Perdue-R) vs Former US Congressman and current GA Secretary of State John Barrow-D. DEM GAIN.
LA-(Cassidy-R) vs Former LA Lt Governor and New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu-D
MS-(OPEN-Cochran-R) vs Former MS Attorney General and 2019 Democratic Nominee for Governor Jim Hood-D
NC-(Tillis-R) vs Former NC State Treasurer Janet Cowell-D DEM GAIN.
SC-(Graham-R) vs Former SC Governor Jim Hodges-D
TN-(OPEN-Alexander-R) vs Current Chattanooga Mayor Andy Berke-D
TX-( Cornyn-R) vs US Congressman Joaquin Castro-D DEM Gain
VA-Warner-D wins re-election.



November 17, 2017

2018 US House Election-Democratic Wave.

Democrats are in danger of losing
MN-1 ( Open-Walz-D) -1D
NH-1 ( OPEN- Shea Porter-D)-2D
Democrats are likely to pick up
AZ-2 (OPEN-McSally-R)-1D
CA-10 ( Denham-R) 0D
CA-21 ( Valadao-R) +1D
CA-25 ( Knight-R) +2D
CA-48 ( Rohrabacher-R) +3D
CA-49 ( Issa-R) +4D
CO-6 ( Coffman-R) +5D
FL-26 ( Curbelo-R) +6D
FL-27 (OPEN-Ros-Lehtinen-R) +7D
IL-6 ( Roskam-R) +8D
IA-1 ( Blum-R) +9D
IA-3 ( Young-R) +10D
KS-3 ( Yoder-R) +11D
ME-2 ( Poliquin-R) +12D
MI-11 (OPEN-Trott-R) +13D
MN-2 ( Lewis-R) +14D
MN-3 ( Paulsen-R) +15D
NE-2 ( Bacon-R) +16D
NJ-2 (OPEN-LoBiondo-R) +17D
NJ-7 ( Lance-R) +18D
NJ-11 ( Frelinghuysen-R) +19D
NY-19 ( Faso-R) +20D
NY-22 ( Tenney-R) +21D
NY-24 ( Katko-R) +22D
PA-8 ( Fitzpatrick-R) +23D
PA-15 (OPEN-Dent-R)+24D
TX-7 ( Culberson-R) +25D
TX-23 ( Hurd-R) +26D
VA-10( Comstock-R) +27D
WA-8 (OPEN-Reichert-R) +28D

November 17, 2017

Democrats guide to regaining the majority of the US Senate in 2018 and retaining it in 2020 & 2022.

Win the AL US Senate Race on December,12 2017 (Jones-D is leading by 8 points in Fox News Poll) 49D
In 2018
Hold onto
CA (Feinstein-D)25D
CT ( Murphy-D) 26D
DE ( Carper-D) 27D
FL ( Nelson-D) 28D
HI ( Hirono-D) 29D
IN ( Donnelly-D) 30D
ME (King-I/D) 31D
MD ( Cardin-D) 32D
MA (Warren-D) 33D
MI ( Stabenow-D) 34D
MN ( Klobuchar-D) 35D
MO ( McCaskill-D) 36D
MT ( Tester-D) 37D
NJ ( Menendez-D) 38D
NM (Heinrich-D) 39D
NY ( Gillibrand-D) 40D
ND ( Heitkamp-D) 41D
OH ( Brown-D) 42D
PA ( Casey-D) 43D
RI (Whitehouse-D) 44D
VT (Sanders-I/D) 45D
VA (Kaine-D) 46D
WA (Cantwell-D)47D
WV ( Manchin-D) 48D
WI (Baldwin-D)49D
Pick up
AZ (Sinema-D)50D
NV (Rosen-D)51D
In 2020 I expect AL(Jones-D) to be the only Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2020 to go Republican.
Democrats will hold onto
DE (Coons-D)40D
IL (Durbin-D) 41D
MA (Markey-D) 42D
MI (Peters-D) 43D
MN (Franken-D) 44D
NH ( Shaheen-D) 45D
NJ (Booker-D) 46D
NM (Udall-D) 47D
OR ( Merkley-D) 48D
RI (Reed-D) 49D
VA (Warner-D) 50D
Democrats will pick up
AZ (Kelly-D) 51D
CO (Hancock-D) 52D
Democrats will win the 2020 US Presidential Election.( Hickenlooper-CO/Harris-CA )
In 2022-If Democrats were to lose a seat, it will be in NH (Hassan-D).
Democrats will hold onto
AZ (Kelly-D) 39D
CA-Harris (Padilla-D) 40D
CA-Feinstein(Kounalakis-D)41D
CO ( Bennet-D) 42D
CT (Blumenthal-D) 43D
HI ( Schatz-D) 44D
IL ( Duckworth-D) 45D
MD (Van Hollen-D) 46D
NV (Cortez Masto-D) 47D
NY (Schumer-D) 48D
OR (Wyden-D) 49D
VT (Leahy-D) 50D
WA (Murray-D) 51D



November 16, 2017

2018/2020/2022 US Senate Election-Democrats guide to a majority.

2018.
Democrats will hold onto CA,CT,DE,FL,HI,IN,ME,MD,MA,MI,MN,MO,MT,NJ,NM,NY,ND,OH,PA,RI,VT,VA,WA,WV,and WI. 48D
Democrats will pick up AL (Jones-D) in 2017, AZ (Sinema-D) and NV (Rosen-D) in 2018. 51D
2020.
Democrats will hold onto AL,DE,IL,MA,MI,MN,NH,NJ,NM,OR,RI,and VA. 51D
Democrats will pick up AZ (Kelly-D), CO (Hickenlooper-D),IA (Vilsack-D), MT (Bullock-D), and NC (McIntyre-D). 56D
Democrats will also win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
2022.
Democrats will hold onto AZ,CA,CO,CT,HI,IL,MD,NV,NY,OR,VT, and WA. 56D
Democrats will lose NH. 55D

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