If John Hickenlooper-CO and Mark Warner-VA decide to leave in 2026,

Who is likely to replace Hickenlooper-CO and Warner-VA?
Hickenlooper-CO
Polis-D is the frontrunner being a 5 term member of the US House and 2 term Governor.
After Polis-D, Neguse-D and/or Crow-D- both are members of the US House since 2018.
Warner-VA
It is likely to be Youngkin-R vs
Luria-D,Spanberger-D,and Wexton-D- All 3 of them are rising star US House members from swing districts.

Harry Reid became the Senate Democratic Leader after Tom Daschle left.

How was Tom Daschle as Senate Democratic Leader?
I was watching C-SPAN in the late 1990’s and saw Reid getting into a debate with my favorite AR US Senator Dale Bumpers. I liked David Pryor more than I liked Mark Pryor. If Mark behaved more like his father and Dale Bumpers. Would his margin of defeat get smaller?

US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats are more likely to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 in order to remain in the majority.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

If Huffington-R had won the 1994 CA US Senate Race, Who would be currently holding that seat?

Feinstein-D was the Democratic nominee in 1994.
Huffington-R loses re-election in 2000 due to Gore’s coattails.

1)Xavier Becerra - serves from 2001 to present. Does not become HHS Secretary since the other CA US Senator Kamala Harris became VP.

RIP Harry Reid.

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 to remain in the majority.

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a double digit margin.
37)HI(Schatz-D) unopposed
38)CA(Padilla-D) against another Democrat in November.(Jerome Horton-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a high single digit margin.
46)CO(Bennet-D) between Bennet’s 2016 performance and Hickenlooper’s 2020 performance.
47)NH(Hassan-D) between Hassan’s 2016 performance and Shaheen’s 2020 performance.
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a narrow margin.
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D) finishes in 1st place in 11/2022 with 49 percent of the popular vote. Walker-R finishes in 2nd place with 48 percent of the popular vote. Since neither side got 50 percent of the popular vote, The 1/2023 runoff election will take place. 51-49 percent race favoring Warnock-D.

If Johnson(R-WI) decides not to seek re-election in 2022, WI moves from a Tilt R to Tilt D. Barnes-D will be the Democratic nominee.

Likely outcome in the 2022 MI US House Races.

Haley Stevens will lose in the Democratic primary to fellow incumbent Andy Levin.
Elissa Slotkin-D loses in the General Election.
Dan Kildee-D narrowly wins re-election.
Democrats win the open US House seat in the Grand Rapids Area.

Since people are predicting a GOP wave year in 2022.

Democrats will end up with 49 to 50 US Senate seats after 2022.

Democratic incumbents Kelly(AZ) and Cortez Masto(NV) are on the top of the list of being defeated by a narrow margin- less than 5 percent.
Warnock(GA) will have to face voters again in 1/2023.
Democrats are going to win the open Republican seat in PA(Toomey-R/Fetterman-D) and defeat the only Republican incumbent- WI(Johnson-R/Barnes-D)

The GA US Senate Election runoff is going to decide which political party is in the majority in the next Congress.

Does anyone else think that Mehmet Oz and Herschel Walker are overhyped?

I don’t think these guys will win at the end of the day.