nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's Journal2018 US House Elections.
Democrats need a net gain of 24 seats to get a majority in the US House.
1)AK(Young-R)Democrats should get Begich-D to challenge Young-R.
2)AZ-2 (McSally-R)How would Gabby Giffords or Mark Kelly or Ron Barber do against McSally?
3)CA-10 (Denham-R)
4)CA-21(Valadao-R)
5)CA-25 (Knight-R)
6)CA-49 (Issa-R)
7)CO-6 (Coffman-R)
8)FL-26 (Curbelo-R)
9)IA-1 (Blum-R)
10)IA-3 (Young-R)
11)ME-2 (Poliquin-R)
12)MN-2 (Lewis-R)
13)MN-3 (Paulsen-R)
14)NE-2 (Bacon-R)
15)NJ-7 (Lance-R)
16)NY-19 (Faso-R)
17)NY-22 (Tenney-R)
18)NY-24 (Katko-R)
19)PA-6 (Costello-R)
20)PA-7 (Meehan-R)
21)PA-8 (Fitzpatrick-R)
22)PA-16 (Smucker-R)
23)TX-23 (Hurd-R)
24)VA-10 (Cornstock-R)
How would a Warren/Booker-D Ticket do in battleground states ie
AZ,CO,FL,ME,MI,MN,NV,NH,NC,PA,and WI?
2017/2018/2019 Governors Races -States that Democrats are favored to pick up.
AK-Begich-D
FL-Murphy-D
IL-Kennedy-D
MI-Whitmer-D
NV-Miller-D
NJ-Murphy-D
NM-Lujan Grisham-D
OH-Sutton-D
VT-Zuckerman-D
WI-How would Feingold-D do against Walker-R?
2018 US Senate Election
AL (Strange-R)Solid R
AZ (Flake-R)Synema-D vs Flake-R (Tossup)Synema-D vs Ward-R (Lean D)
CA (Feinstein-D)Solid D
CT (Murphy-D)Solid D
DE (Carper-D)Solid D
FL (Nelson-D)vs Scott-R (Lean D)
HI (Hirono-D)Solid D
IN (Donnelly-D)Tossup D
ME (King-I/D)vs LePage-R (Lean I/D)
MD (Cardin-D)Solid D
MA (Warren-D)Solid D
MI (Stabenow-D)vs Snyder-R (Lean D)
MN (Klobuchar-D)Solid D
MS (Wicker-R)Solid R
MO (McCaskill-D)Lean D
MT (Tester-D)Tossup-D
NE (Fischer-R)Solid R
NV (Heller-R)Tossup D, Depends on the Democratic nominee.
NJ (OPEN-D)Menendez-D is likely to be convicted late 2017/early 2018 and be forced to resign. Whoever gets appointed by newly
elected Governor Murphy-D is favored to win even against Christie-R
NM(Heinrich-D)vs Martinez-R (Lean D)
NY (Gillibrand-D)Solid D
ND (Heitkamp-D)Tossup D
OH (Brown-D)Lean D,Tossup D against Kasich-R.
PA (Casey-D)Likely D
RI (Whitehouse-D)Solid D
TN (Corker-R)Solid R
TX (Cruz-R)Lean R
UT (Hatch-R)Solid R
VT (Sanders-I/D)Solid I/D
VA (Kaine-D)Likely D
WA (Cantwell-D)Solid D
WV (Manchin-D)Tossup D
WI (Baldwin-D)Likely D
WY (Barasso-R)Solid R
Best case scenario- Democrats pick up AZ and NV and holds onto all of the highly vulnerable Democratic held seats. +2D
Worse case scenario- Democrats pick up AZ and NV, but lose IN,MO,MT,ND,and WV. -3D
Al Franken-MN/Jeff Merkley-OR 2020.
Both of these men are strong progressives elected to the US Senate in 2008 by unseating Republican incumbents by a narrow margin, re-elected in 2014 by high single digit/ low double digit margin. Al Franken-MN is doing an excellent job as US Senator filibustering Trump cabinet appointees. He was also behind Air America. Jeff Merkley-OR was the first Democratic US Senator to endorse Bernie Sanders.
Could Chuck Schumer (D-NY) follow Bob Dole's (R-KS) lead and seek the 2020 Democratic Presidential
Nomination to unseat Donald Trump-R.
Bob Dole was the Republican leader of the US Senate from 1985-1996 (Reagan's 2nd Term to Clinton's 1st Term) when he decided to seek the 1996 Republican Presidential nomination to unseat Bill Clinton-D but was unsuccessful.
Chuck Schumer-NY has been Democratic of the US Senate since 2017. If Democrats don't find a decent candidate to unseat Trump-R by 2019, then Schumer should seek the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination. Unlike Dole-KS in 1996,Schumer-NY has an excellent chance of getting elected President because Schumer-NY is a much better campaigner than Dole,Gore,Kerry,and Hillary Clinton. Schumer-NY unseated Al D'Amato in his first US Senate Race-1998 and won re-election in 2004,2010,and 2016 with over 65 to 70 percent of the popular vote. Schumer could win back the Bernie supporters by leading the fight to block any of Trump's agenda from passing in the US Senate by a filibuster. Elizabeth Warren-MA could be the next Democratic Leader.
Donald Trump is going to have his 9th grandchild.
What does Donald Trump's oldest grandchild call Donald Trump's youngest child?
Freshmen Democratic US Senators likely to be on the 2020 Democratic Ticket.
1)Chris Van Hollen-MD
Current Chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee in the 2018 election cycle. If every vulnerable incumbent Democratic US Senator wins or vulnerable open Democratic held US Senate seat stays in the Democratic column. Van Hollen's standing in the National Democratic Party rises.
Previously served in the US House of Representative for 14 years (2003-2017). While in the US House, Van Hollen was chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in the 2008 and 2010 election cycle.
Previously served in the Maryland State Legislature, MD House 1991-1995, MD Senate 1995-2003.
Van Hollen has a progressive voting record
State Legislature- raised the tobacco tax, prohibit oil drilling in the Chesapeake Bay area,mandate trigger locks on guns, increase funding for education and Healthcare.
US House- Introduced legislation to fund the No Child Left Behind and Individuals with Disability Education Act. Introduced legislation to finance clean energy and energy efficiency projects.
2)Kamala Harris-CA
Previously served as CA Attorney General from 2011-2017, San Francisco District Attorney from 2004 to 2011. Kamala Harris will be the 4th female,2nd African American, and 1st Indian American to be on the National Ticket.
3)Tammy Duckworth-IL
Previously served in the US House of Representative from 2013-2017, served in the Illinois and United States Veterans Affairs Department, Duckworth is a disabled Iraq War Veteran losing both legs and an arm-Max Cleland-GA.
2017/2018 Governors Election- Democratic Favored states.
2017
NJ-Phil Murphy-D
VA-Ralph Northam-D
2018
AZ-Greg Stanton-D
CA-Gavin Newsom-D
CO-Ken Salazar-D
CT-Dan Malloy-D
FL-Gwen Graham-D
GA-Jason Carter-D
HI-David Ige-D
IL-Chris Kennedy-D
ME-Mike Michaud-D
MD-Doug Gansler-D
MA-Seth Moulton-D
MI-Gretchen Whitmer-D
MN-Rebecca Otto-D
NV-Ross Miller-D
NM-Michelle Lujan Grisham-D
NY-Andrew Cuomo-D
OH-Betty Sutton-D
OR-Kate Brown-D
PA-Tom Wolf-D
RI-Gina Raimondo-D
How would Ron Reagan Jr do as the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee against Trump?
Would Ron Jr. win back the Reagan Democrats/ now called Trump Democrats?
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