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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
March 16, 2022

Democratic US Senate nominee in every state up for re-election in 2022.

AL- Brandaun Dean-D
AK-Elvi Gray Jackson-D
AZ-Mark Kelly-D
AR-Dan Whitefield-D
CA-Alex Padilla-D
CO-Michael Bennet-D
CT-Richard Blumenthal-D
FL-Val Demings-D
GA-Raphael Warnock-D
HI-Brian Schatz-D
ID-David Roth-D
IL-Tammy Duckworth-D
IN-Thomas McDermott Jr.-D
IA-Abby Finkenauer-D
KS-Mark Holland-D
KY-Charles Booker-D
LA-Gary Chambers-D
MD-Chris Van Hollen-D
MO-Scott Sifton-D
NV-Catherine Cortez Masto-D
NH-Maggie Hassan-D
NY-Chuck Schumer-D
NC-Cheri Beasley-D
ND-Michael Steele-D
OH-Tim Ryan-D
OK regular-Bevon Rogers-D
OK special-Kendra Horn-D
OR-Ron Wyden-D
PA-John Fetterman-D
SC-Krystle Matthews-D
SD-Brian Bengs-D
UT-Kael Weston-D
VT-Peter Welch-D
WA-Patty Murray-D
WI-Mandela Barnes-D

March 16, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will end up winning.

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)"
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

March 15, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will end up winning.

If 2022 is a Republican wave election year.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
If 2022 is a neutral year.
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
If 2022 is a Democratic wave year.
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)

March 15, 2022

Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2026 that are vulnerable.

NC(Tillis-R)Jeff Jackson-D
IA(Ernst-R)Cindy Axne-D
ME(Collins-R)Jared Golden-D
TX(Cornyn-R)Lizzie Fletcher-D

March 15, 2022

Republican held US Senate seats the Democrats could win in 2022.

FL(Rubio-R)Demings-D
MO(OPEN Blunt-R)Kunce-D
NC(OPEN Burr-R)Beasley-D
OH(OPEN Portman-R)Ryan-D
PA(OPEN Toomey-R) Fetterman-D
WI(Johnson-R)Barnes-D

March 15, 2022

Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2022 that are vulnerable.

AZ(Kelly-D)
CO(Bennet-D) if the national environment is bad for Democrats.
GA(Warnock-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
NH(Hassan-D) if the national environment is bad for Democrats.

Democratic US Senators won their previous US Senate races by a narrow to high single digit margin.

March 15, 2022

Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2024 that are considered vulnerable.

AZ(Sinema-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
OH(Brown-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
These US Senators won in 2024 by a narrow to high single digit margin.

March 15, 2022

Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2026 that are vulnerable.

GA(Ossoff-D)
MI(Peters-D)
MN(Smith-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
These US Senators won in 2020 by a narrow to high single digit margin.

March 15, 2022

US Senate seats the Democrats need to win to remain in the majority in 2022,2024,and 2026!

2024 will be the year Democrats might lose 1 or 2 seats. WV(Manchin-D),MT(Tester-D), and possibly OH(Brown-D). The Republican nominee in those seats will benifit from the 2024 Republican presidential nominee coattails.
In 2022, Democrats need to hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2022 including AZ(Kelly-D,NV(Cortez Masto-D) and GA(Warnock-D) and pick up PA(Fetterman-D),WI(Barnes-D),and NC(Beasley-D).
In 2024, Democrats will hold onto AZ(Sinema-D),MI(Stabenow-D),MN(Klobuchar-D),NV(Rosen-D),PA(Casey-D), and WI(Baldwin-D).
In 2026, Democrats will pick up ME and NC. Democrats could lose GA

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