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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
March 24, 2022

Democrats will expand their majority in the US Senate in 2022 by winning all of the Biden states.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D/Lamb-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)





March 24, 2022

Who will be the Democratic Nominee for the 2028 US Senate Elections in WA,OR,and NY?

Murray(WA),Wyden(OR),and Schumer(NY) have been in Congress for at least 30 years. 2028 is the year they retire.
WA- Pramila Jayapal-D.
OR- Shemia Fagan-D or Tobias Read-D
NY- Alexandria Ocasio Cortez-D or Brian Benjamin-D

In 2022, Democratic incumbents in AZ(Kelly)GA(Warnock)and NV(Cortez Masto);lose re-election due to the Anti Biden wave.
AZ- Ruben Gallego-D
GA- Nikema Williams-D
NV- Steven Horsford-D

In 2022, Democratic nominees in NC(Beasley), PA(Fetterman or Lamb) and WI(Barnes) lose due to the Anti Biden wave.
NC- Clay Aiken-D
PA- Brendan Boyle-D
WI- Josh Kaul-D


March 23, 2022

Who would be the Democratic nominee for the 2028 US Senate Elections in

AZ(if Kelly-D loses.) Ruben Gallego-D
FL(if Rubio-R wins.) Darren Soto-D
GA(if Warnock-D loses.) Nikema Williams-D
IA(OPEN seat or Pat Grassley-R is the incumbent.) Cindy Axne-D.
NV(Cortez Masto-D loses.) Steven Horsford-D
NC(Beasley-D loses.) incoming US Representative Jeff Jackson-D or Clay Aiken-D. One is likely to run in 2026 against Tillis-R the other is likely to run in 2028.
OH(Ryan-D loses.) Shontel Brown- or Morgan Harper-D
PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D loses.) Brendan Boyle-D
WI(Johnson-R.) Alex Lasry-D


CT(if Blumenthal retires)Jahana Hayes-D.
NY(if Schumer retires) Brian Benjamin-D the current Lt Governor or AOC.
OR(if Wyden retires)Shemia Fagin-D the current Secretary of State.
WA(if Murray retires)Pramila Jayapal-D.

March 23, 2022

Democrats will expand their majority in the US Senate in 2022 by winning all of the Biden states.

The states Biden carried by a margin greater than 1 percent.
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs another D in the general election. 2016(Harris-D vs Sanchez-D) and 2018(Feinstein-D vs DeLeon-D).
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
States Biden carried by a margin less than 20 percent.
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
States Biden carried by a margin less than 15 percent.
46)CO(Bennet-D)
States Biden carried by a margin less than 10 percent.
47)NH(Hassan-D)
States Biden carried by a margin less than 5 percent.
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
States Biden carried by a margin less than 1 percent.
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.

Trump states that Democrats might carry is NC(Beasley-D) and OH(Ryan-D).
Both of the US Senate Races have a unified Democratic field and a divided Republican field .

March 22, 2022

Democrats could expand their US Senate majority by winning all the Biden states including PA and WI.

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)


Republicans need to win at least 3 Biden states to regain control of the US Senate.

Democrats could win US Senate Elections in several Trump states like NC(Beasley-D)
The Republican US Senators treatment of US Supreme Court Judicial nominee Ketanji Brown Jackson could help Beasley who was a black female NC Supreme Court Chief Justice.

March 22, 2022

US Senate Elections in states Democrats will win in 2022.

All of the states Biden won in 2020.
37)CA(Padilla-D vs another Democrat in the November General Election like 2016 and 2018).
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.

March 22, 2022

Can Malcolm Kenyatta win the Democratic Nomination for the 2022 PA US Senate Election?

The Democratic primary race for the 2022 PA US Senate Election is similar to the Democratic Primary race for the 2004 IL US Senate Race.

A charismatic young black progressive state legislator running against two moderate white candidates.

Kenyatta is able to defeat the 2 Republican front runners,(McCormick-R and Oz-R).

March 22, 2022

Democratic US Senators that may retire in 2026.

IL(Durbin-D)Lauren Underwood-D(A young black female outside of Chicago.)
RI(Reed-D)David Cicilline-D
MA(Markey-D)Katherine Clark-D

March 22, 2022

Democratic US Senators that may retire in 2024 and their sucessor.

CA(Feinstein-D)Linda Sanchez-D(high name recognition and is more progressive than her sister Loretta.)
DE(Carper-D)Lisa Blunt Rochester-D
MI(Stabenow-D)Andy Levin-D
MD(Cardin-D)John Sarbanes-D
VT(Sanders-I/D)Molly Gray-D
HI(Hirono-D)Tulsi Gabbard-D
ME(King-I/D)Jared Golden-D

March 22, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman/Lamb/Kenyatta-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

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