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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
April 16, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will definitely win.

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
Tossup
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

Are the Democrats able to win
FL(Demings-D)
IA(Finkenauer-D)
OK special(Kendra Horn-D)

April 15, 2022

Besides PA, Which Republican held US Senate seat are the Democrats able to win in 2022?

WI(Johnson-R vs Barnes-D)
NC(OPEN Burr-R/Budd-R vs Beasley-D)
OH(OPEN Portman-R/Mandel-R vs Ryan-D)

Democratic held US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 are
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D/R.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CT(Blumenthal-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.
If Democrats have a great night in 11/2022
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)FL(Demings-D) Democrats need a strong GOTV operation to get rid off DeSantis and Rubio.
56)MO(Kunce-D vs Grietens-R)



April 15, 2022

2022 US Senate Election Prediction- Democrats will gain between 1 to 4 seats,

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Holden-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
Tossup
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)


April 15, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.

Democratic held US Senate seats likely to stay Democratic.
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.
Democrats will pick up
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

I am predicting that FL stays Republican because Rubio-R is not unpopular unlike DeSantis-R.



April 15, 2022

2022 US Senate Elections in the states the Democrats are favored to win.

37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.



Tossup
WI(Barnes-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)

April 14, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are favored to win.

37)CA(Padilla-D) vs a sacrificial lamb D or R general election opponent.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)1/2023 runoff


All of the seats have sacrificial lamb Republican nominee.
Walker-GA,Laxalt-NV,Oz/McCormick-PA,and Brnovich/Lamb-AZ.

WI(Barnes-D),NC(Beasley-D),and OH(Ryan-D) are in the Tossup category.




April 14, 2022

2022 US Senate Elections in the states the Democrats are performing well in.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)



April 14, 2022

If Pat Grassley gets appointed to his grandfather's US Senate seat,

How will Pat Grassley do in the primary and the general?

April 14, 2022

Can Democrats win the 2022 US Senate Election in PA and OH but not WI,NC,and FL?

In WI,NC, and FL, The Republican nominee has the incumbency advantage.
In PA and OH, The Democratic nominee has the incumbency advantage.
PA- Fetterman-D vs the sacrificial lamb R
OH- Ryan-D vs the sacrificial lamb R
Democrats will hold onto AZ,NV, and GA due to the self destruction of the Republican nominee.

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