nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalIncumbent US Senators running for re-election in 2022 likely to lose re-election.
WI(Johnson-R loses Barnes-D)
Democratic US Senators that are highly vulnerable
AZ(Kelly-D vs Brnovich-R)
GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R)
NV(Cortez Masto-D vs Laxalt-R)
I expect the Democratic incumbent US Senator from at least one of these states to win.
There is also lot of open Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 likely to go Democratic.
PA(Toomey-R/Fetterman-D)
NC(Burr-R/Beasley-D)
OH(Portman-R/Ryan-D)
The Republican nominee in PA,NC,and OH are pretty weak.
PA- McCormick-R and Oz-R
NC- Budd-R and McCrory-R
OH- Mandel-R, Gibbons-R, Dolan-R,Tinken-R and Vance-R. I expect the Republican nominee in these states to self destruct.
They are the 2022 version of Sharon Angle/Ken Buck.
In 2010- Democrats survived in CO and NV due to the weakness of the Republican nominee.
Democrats guide to 60 seats is
48)AZ
49)PA
50)NV
51)GA
52)WI
53)NC
54)OH
55)FL
56)MO(Greitens needs to be the Republican nominee.)
57)IA(Mike Franken needs to be the Democratic nominee.)
58)
59)
60)
A recent poll for the 2022 PA US Senate Race has Fetterman leading in the primary by a 24% marg.
How is Fetterman doing in the general?
Is he leading McCormick and Oz by a single digit margin?
US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats are most likely to win.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D)
US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats are likely to win.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D)
US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats have a chance of winning.
CA(Padilla-D)37
HI(Schatz-D)38
MD(Van Hollen-D)39
NY(Schumer-D) 40
VT(Welch-D)41
CT(Blumenthal-D)42
IL(Duckworth-D)43
OR(Wyden-D)44
CO(Bennet-D)45
WA(Murray-D)46
NH(Hassan-D)47
AZ(Kelly-D)48
PA(Fetterman-D)49
NV(Cortez Masto-D)50
GA(Warnock-D)51
CA(Padilla-D will either face a sacrificial lamb D or R general election opponent.
GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R will be decided in 1/2023.
2022 US Senate Election Prediction- Democrats have a net gain of 0 to 2 seats.
The most vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 is NV(Cortez Masto-D vs Laxalt-R)
Democrats will hold onto AZ(Kelly-D),CO(Bennet-D),NH(Hassan-D) and WA(Murray-D)=48D
Democrats will pick up PA(Fetterman-D)=49D
Democrats will win GA(Warnock-D) in the 1/2023 runoff. 50D
NV and WI are in the Tossup category.
Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 likely to stay Democratic.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 likely to go Democratic.
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
Which incumbent US Senator running for re-election in 2022 is in danger of losing re-election?
Democrats-
NV(Cortez Masto-D vs Laxalt-R)
AZ(Kelly-D vs Brnovich-R)
GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R)
Republicans-
WI(Johnson-R vs Barnes-D)
FL(Rubio-R vs Demings-D)
Open Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 likely to go Republican. None.
Open Republican held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 likely to go Democratic.
NC(OPEN Burr-R)Beasley-D
OH(OPEN Portman-R)Ryan-D
PA(OPEN Toomey-R)Fetterman-D
Democrats will end up with 47 to 55 US Senate seats after 2022.
Democrats will win the 2022 US Senate Elections in all of the Biden states.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
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