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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
June 11, 2023

OH Republicans are more likely to nominate Moreno- a MAGA Republican for the US Senate in 2024?

This will allow Brown-D win another US Senate term.
Bernie Moreno has been endorsed by JD Vance. Bernie Moreno’s son in law is Max Miller a US Representative that previously worked as an aide to Donald Trump. Matt Dolan and Frank LaRose will split the moderate Republican vote.

June 11, 2023

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2024.

CA(Schiff-D/Lee-D)
VT(Sanders-I/D)
HI(Hirono-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I/D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
PA(Casey-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)


June 11, 2023

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that the Democrats will definitely win.

CA(Schiff-D/Lee-D)
VT(Sanders-I/D)
HI(Hirono-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I/D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
MT(Tester-D)
OH(Brown-D)



June 10, 2023

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that the Democrats will definitely win.

CA(Schiff-D/Lee-D)
VT(Sanders-I/D)
HI(Hirono-D)
MA(Warren-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I/D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
PA(Casey-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)


June 10, 2023

What counties in MD will Angela Alsobrooks-D will win the 2024 MD US Senate General Election?

Anne Arundel- 20 percent margin
Baltimore- 30 percent margin
Baltimore City- 80 percent margin
Charles- 40 percent margin
Frederick - 10 percent margin
Howard- 40 percent margin.
Montgomery- 60 percent margin.
Prince George’s- 80 percent margin.


June 10, 2023

How will Sherrod Brown do in his 2024 US Senate Re-election?

Sherrod Brown will get 5 percent more of the popular vote than Joe Biden. Joe Biden received 45 percent of the popular vote in OH in 2020 and is likely to do so in 2024. Sherrod Brown will also get 5 percent more of the popular vote than Tim Ryan did in 2022. Tim Ryan received 47 percent of the popular vote in 2022. Sherrod Brown received between 50-52 percent of the popular vote in his 2024 US Senate Re-election.

June 10, 2023

Who will be the 2024 Republican US Senate Nominee in AZ,MI,MT,NV,OH,PA,and WI?

AZ(Kari Lake-R) Lean Democratic.
MI(Nikki Snyder-R) Lean Democratic.
MT(Matt Rosendale-R) Lean Democratic.
NV(Jim Marchant-R) Lean Democratic.
OH(Bernie Moreno-R) Lean Democratic.
PA(David McCormick-R) Lean Democratic.
WI(David Clarke-R) Lean Democratic.

Democrats will win all 7 of these battleground US Senate Elections in 2024 by a 5 to 10 percent margin.

June 10, 2023

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2024 by a wide to narrow margin.

CA(Schiff-D/Lee-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I/D)
MA(Warren-D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I/D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
PA(Casey-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
MT(Tester-D)
OH(Brown-D)
TX(Allred-D)
MO(Kunce-D)

June 10, 2023

Trump's margin of victory in MT from 2016 to 2020 has narrowed.

2016 was 20.42 percent.
2020 was 16.37 percent.

Tester-MT wins re-election by a 5 percent margin.

June 10, 2023

Which 2024 Democratic US Senate Nominee will win by a wider margin? Brown-OH or Allred-TX?

TX is less Republican than OH. Ted Cruz-R is more unpopular than the OH Republican US Senate candidates.

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