nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalWhich Democrat is likely to unseat Sinema in the 2024 AZ US Senate D Primary?
Kate Gallego- Mayor of Phoenix.
Regina Romero- Mayor of Tucson.
Ruben Gallego US Representative
Greg Stanton US Representative
Stanton is perceived to be a stronger general election candidate. He represents a swing district.
Tim Ryan will be the next US Senator from OH!
JD Vance has compared abortion to slavery.
There is going to be a lot of DeWine-Ryan voters in 2022 like there was a lot of DeWine-Brown voters in 2018.
US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a safe to tilt margin.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
The 2022 OH US Senate Elections Rating is biased toward the Republicans
Safe R 1
Likely R 4
Lean R 2
It should be Tossup, Tilt D, Tilt R
The 2022 AZ and PA US Senate Election Rating should be in the Tilt/Lean Democratic column.
Which Non Biden state are the Democrats more likely to win the 2022 US Senate Election in?
FL(Demings-D vs Rubio-R)
IA(Franken-D vs Grassley-R)
NC(Beasley-D vs Budd-R)
OH(Ryan-D vs Vance-R)
US Senate Elections that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Which Democrat is going to challenge John Cornyn in 2026?
Cornyn has a 24 percent approval/50 percent disapproval.
The top tier Democratic candidates are the Castro Twin Brothers(Julian and/or Joaquin), Colin Allred, Lizzie Fletcher, Veronica Escobar, and/or Marc Veasey. TX is likely to become more Democratic in 2026.
Tim Ryan needs to ask himself this question.
What would Sherrod Brown do or not do?
Sherrod Brown would not avoid Joe Biden on the campaign trail.
Sherrod Brown’s US Senate Elections
2006- GWBush’s 2nd Midterm- Bush was unpopular.
2012- Obama’s 2nd Presidential term.
2018- Trump’s 1st Midterm.
2024- Biden’s 2nd Presidential term- Brown will not distance himself from any Democratic Presidential Nominee, Popular or Unpopular.
Democrats are definitely going to end up with 52 seats after 2022.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Democrats will definitely end up with 51 US Senate seats after 2022.
Democrats will hold onto
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
Democrats will pick up
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
WI(Barnes-D vs Johnson-R),NC(Beasley vs Budd-R) and OH(Ryan-D vs Vance-R) and FL(Demings-D vs Rubio-R) could go either way.
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