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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
August 14, 2022

US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats are strongly and slightly favored to win.

Strongly Favored.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
Slightly Favored
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)



August 13, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will be going to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CA(Padilla-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)WA(Murray-D).
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

NC is a statistical tie.










August 13, 2022

US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats will win.

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schumer-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)CT(Blumenthal-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)OH(Ryan-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)


August 13, 2022

Democrats will have 53 US Senate seats on or after 1/2023. Here is how!

36 Democratic held US Senate seats not up for re-election.
Safe D
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CT(Blumenthal-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)
53)GA(Warnock-D) 12/2022 runoff.

August 12, 2022

I just realized why Becca Ballint won the Democratic nomination for the 2022 VT US House Race.

Ballint is a gay female immigrant who served in elected office since 2015. She also was endorsed by Bernie Sanders.
Ballint will succeed Sanders in the US Senate when Sanders decides not to seek re-election which will most likely be in 2030.

August 12, 2022

Democrats will definitely end up with 51 to 53 seats in the US Senate after 1/2023.

Democrats are definitely going to win.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)

OH or WI are the Democrats 52nd seat.
OH and WI are the US Senate seats the Democrats need to win to avoid what happens in the 12/2022 general election runoff in GA and Sinema and Manchin.

August 12, 2022

Regarding the 2022 OH US Senate Election public opinion polls.

Ryan-D lead Vance-R in every poll except the polls conducted in May 2022 in which Ryan trailed by a narrow margin.
2022 US Senate Races where the Democrats lead in every poll.
37)AZ(Kelly-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)CO(Bennet-D)
40)CT(Blumenthal-D)
41)HI(Schatz-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)MD(Van Hollen-D)
44)NY(Schumer-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)PA(Fetterman-D)
47)VT(Welch-D)
48)WA(Murray-D)
49)WI(Barnes-D) need to see more public opinion polls conducted.
50)OH(Ryan-D) The only time Ryan-D did not lead was in 5/2022.
51)NH(Hassan-D) only trailed 1 Republican candidate in 1 public opinion poll conducted in 4/2022 by a narrow margin.
52)GA(Warnock-D) started leading Walker-R in the end of 4/2022.
53)NV(Cortez Masto-D) started leading Laxalt-R in 4/2022.
54)NC(Beasley-D) has lead Budd-R in 3 out of 5 polls conducted since 6/2022.
55)FL(Demings-D) has lead Rubio-R in 1 poll conducted in 5/2022.



August 11, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will most likely win.

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)OH(Ryan-D)
50)NH(Hassan-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)

NC(Beasley-D vs Budd-R),FL(Demings-D vs Rubio-R) and IA(Franken-D vs Grassley-R) is likely to be a Tossup to a narrow Democratic loss.

August 11, 2022

US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a solid to slight margin.

37)MD(Van Hollen-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)VTWelch-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)IA(Franken-D)




August 10, 2022

2022 Democratic US Senate Nominees margin of victory from landslide to narrow.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)WA(Murray-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CT(Blumenthal-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)




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