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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
September 17, 2017

2018 US Senate Election-Who is the most vulnerable incumbent in the 2018 General Election?

1)AZ-Flake-R vs Sinema/Stanton-D
2)IN-Donnelly-D vs Messer/Rokita-R
3)MO-McCaskill-D vs Hawley-R
4)NV-Heller-R vs Rosen-D


September 17, 2017

2017 AL US Senate Race-Moore defeats Strange in the Republican primary runnoff.

If Jones-D defeats Moore-R in the General Election, what are his chances of winning re-election to a first full 6 year term in 2020?
If Jones-D defeats Moore-R in the 2017 Special Election, then loses re-election in 2020 and Trump-R looses re-election in 2020, Jones-D could be the next US Attorney General.

September 17, 2017

2018 US Senate Election-If 2018 is like 2002-Democrats will lose IN and MO and pick up AZ and NV.

If 2018 is like 2006-Democrats will hold onto IN and MO and pick up AZ and NV.
The 51st Democratic US Senate seat will be in
AZ-McCain Vacancy-Democrats win the special election-Greg Stanton.
UT-A 4 way race between Hatch/Romney-R vs Wilson-D vs McMullin-I vs Bowden-L.

September 16, 2017

2018 US Senate Election-The likely number of seats Democrats will have after 2018 is

Pick up
49)AZ-Sinema-D
50)NV-Rosen-D
Lose
49)IN-Messer-R
48)MO-Hawley-R

September 15, 2017

If Trump State Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2018 signed on to Medicare for All,

Will it increase or decrease their chances of getting re-elected?
This question applies to the Democratic US Senators facing a tough race
Nelson-FL,Donnelly-IN,Stabenow-MI,McCaskill-MO,Tester-MT,Heitkamp-ND,Brown-OH,Casey-PA,and Manchin-WV.
Baldwin-WI is supporting Medicare for All.

September 12, 2017

2017 AL US Senate Election-Jones-D trails Strange-R by 40-43, Moore-R by 40-44.

If Democrats win the 2017 AL US Senate Election-Democrats will regain control of the US Senate in 2018.
Democrats will hold onto FL,IN,MI,MO,MT,ND,OH,PA,WV,and WI and pick up AL(2017),AZ and NV.

September 12, 2017

2018 US Senate Election-Could UT be the seat that gives Democrats 51 seats assuming Democrats

hold onto every US Senate Seat up in 2018 and pick up AZ,NV,and UT-Hatch-R vs Wilson-D or Wilson-D vs Romney-R vs McMullin-I.
Hatch-R is trailing Wilson-D by a 45-34 percent margin.
Romney-R is leading Wilson by a 62-26 percent margin.

September 10, 2017

2018 US House Election-seats Democrats need to win to regain control of the US House.

1)AZ-2(McSally-R)
2)CA-10 (Denham-R)
3)CA-21 (Valadao-R)
4)CA-25 (Knight-R)
5)CA-39 (Royce-R)
6)CA-43 (Walters-R)
7)CA-48 (Rohrabacher-R)
8)CA-49 (Issa-R)
9)CO-6 (Coffman-R)
10)FL-25 (Diaz Balart-R)
11)FL-26 (Curbelo-R)
12)FL-27 (Ros-Lehtinen-R)
13)IL-6 (Roskam-R)
14)IL-13 (Davis-R)
15)IA-1 (Blum-R)
16)IA-3 (Young-R)
17)KS-3 (Yoder-R)
18)ME-2 (Poliquin-R)
19)MI-6 (Upton-R)
20)MI-8 (Bishop-R)
21)MI-11 (Trott-R)
22)MN-2 (Lewis-R)
23)MN-3 (Paulsen-R)
24)NE-2 (Bacon-R)
25)NJ-2 ( LoBiondo-R)
26)NJ-3 (McArthur-R)
27)NJ-7 (Lance-R)
28)NJ-11 ( Frelinghuysen-R)
29)NY-2 (King-R)
30)NY-11 (Donovan-R)
31)NY-19 (Faso-R)
32)NY-21 ( Stefanick-R)
33)NY-24 (Katko-R)
34)OH-10 (Turner-R)
35)PA-6 (Costello-R)
36)PA-7 (Meehan-R)
37)PA-8 (Fitzpatrick-R)
38)PA-15 (Dent-R)
39)TX-23 (Hurd-R)
40)VA-2 (Taylor-R)
41)VA-10 (Comstock-R)
42)WA-3 ( Herrara-Beutler-R)
43)WA-8 ( Reichert-R)

September 9, 2017

2018 Colorado Governors Race and 2020 Colorado US Senate Race-Jared Polis.

If Jared Polis does not win the Democratic nomination for the 2018 Colorado Governors Race but finishes in 2nd place behind current LT Governor Donna Lynne, Look for him to run for the US Senate in 2020 against Gardner.

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