nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalUS Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will definitely win.
37)CA(Padilla-D vs Horton-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D) will benefit from 2022 PA Democratic Gubernatorial nominee Shapiro’s coattails.
51)NC(Beasley-D) has no skeletons in her closet like Cunningham-D had in 2020 against Tillis-R. Despite all of that Cunningham-D lost to Tillis-R by a 1.75 percent margin. Republican field(Budd-R,McCrory-R,and/or Walker-R) is mediocre.
52)OH(Ryan-D) vs a weak Republican field.
53)WI(Barnes-D)
54)GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R) will be decided in the 1/2023 runoff.
Could anyone see the Democrats winning the 2022.US Senate Elections in NC and OH over the
2022 US Senate Elections in PA and WI?
Beasley-NC and Ryan-OH are much stronger candidates than Fetterman-PA and Barnes-WI.
In NC and OH, the Democratic Party is united, the Republican Party is not.
In PA, Both sides have a tough primary. Fetterman-D and/or Lamb-D vs McCormick-R and/or Oz-R.
In WI, the Democratic Party has a tough primary, Barnes-D vs Lasry-D.
US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrat will have a chance of winning.
HI(Schatz-D)37
VT(Welch-D)38
NY(Schumer-D)39
CA(Padilla-D)40
MD(Van Hollen-D)41
CT(Blumenthal-D)42
OR(Wyden-D)43
WA(Murray-D)44
IL(Duckworth-D)45
CO(Bennet-D)46
NH(Hassan-D)47
NV(Cortez Masto-D)48
AZ(Kelly-D)49
PA(Fetterman-D)50
GA(Warnock-D)51
WI(Barnes-D)52
NC(Beasley-D)53
OH(Ryan-D)54
FL(Demings-D)55
MO(Kunce-D)56
UT(McMullin-I caucuses with the Democrats.)57
US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats have a chance to win in order to get 60 seats.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)MO(Kunce-D or Sifton-D)
57)IA(Finkenauer-D or Franken-D)
58)IN(McDermott-D)
59)KY(Booker-D)
60)UT(McMullin-I/caucuses with the Democrats.)
US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will be winning.
CA(Padilla-D vs Bradley-R)37
NY(Schumer-D vs Pinion-R)38
HI(Schatz-D vs McDermott-R)39
MD(Van Hollen-D vs Chris Chaffee-R)40
CT(Blumenthal-D vs Klarides-R)41
VT(Welch-D vs Nolan-R)42
OR(Wyden-D vs Rae Perkins-R)43
IL(Duckworth-D vs Hubbard-R)44
WA(Murray-D vs Smiley-R)45
CO(Bennet-D vs Bremer-R)46
NH(Hassan-D vs Bolduc-R)47
AZ(Kelly-D vs Brnovich-R)48
NV(Cortez Masto-D vs Laxalt-R)49
GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R)50
PA(Fetterman-D vs McCormick-R)51
WI(Barnes-D vs Johnson-R)52
NC(Beasley-D vs McCrory-R)53
OH(Ryan-D vs Gibbons-R)54
US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will be likely going to win.
Solid D
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
Likely D
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Lean D
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
Tilt D
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Tossup
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will win easily.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2024 likely to retire or face a tough race.
Face a tough race-
AZ(Sinema-D)primary challenge against Gallego-D or Stanton-D General Election against Ducey-R. Ducey-R has an easier time winning a US Senate Race in 2024 against a damaged incumbent Sinema-D than in 2022 against a fairly popular incumbent Kelly-D.
CA(Feinstein-D) if she faces a Democrat in the November General Election.
MT(Tester-D) either of the 2 MT US House Members.
NV(Rosen-D) Amodei-R
OH(Brown-D) Second place finisher in the Republican primary race for the 2022 OH US Senate Race.
WV(Manchin-D) Mooney-R.
Decides to retire.
CA(Feinstein-D) Porter-D
DE(Carper-D) Blunt Rochester-D
HI(Hirono-D) Kahele-D
ME(King-I) Golden-D
MD(Cardin-D) J. Sarbanes-D or Raskin-D
MI(Stabenow-D) Slotkin-D or Stevens-D
PA(Casey-D) Lamb-D
VT(Sanders-I/D) Gray-D
US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will easily win.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
Tossup
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
How many US House seats will the Democrats have a net gain/loss in 2022.
Democrats will lose
1)WI-3(Kind-D is vacating.)
2)TX-34(Vela-D is vacating.)
3)TN-5(Cooper-D is vacating.)
4)OH-14(Ryan-D is vacating.)
5)MI-12(Lawrence-D is vacating.)
6)MI-11(Levin-D or Stevens-D)
7)IL-6(Casten-D or Newman-D)
8)GA-7(Boudreaux-D or McBath-D)
9)CA-42(Roybal Allard-D and Lowenthal-D are vacating.)
10)CA-9(McNerney-D is vacating.)
11)AZ-6(Kirkpatrick-D is vacating.)
12)AZ-2(O’Halleran-D)
13)ME-2(Golden-D)
Democrats will gain
1)CA-13
2)CA-22
3)CA-27
4)CA-45
5)CO-8
6)FL-26
7)FL-27
8)IL-3
9)IL-13
10)MI-3
11)MI-13
12)NM-2
13)NY-1
14)NY-11
15)NY-22
16)NC-14
17)OR-6
18)TX-15
19)TX-35
Democrats will have a net gain of 6 seats.
VA-3/5
PA-7/4
PA-8/3
OH-9/2
NJ-7/1
NH-1/0
MI-7/-1
MI-8/-2
KS-3/-3
IA-3/-4
CO-8/-5
Democrats will have a net loss of 5 seats.
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