nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalUS House members forced to leave due to redistricting.
AZ- O’Halleran
CA- Valadao,Garcia, and Steel
GA- McBath or Boudreax
IL- Newman or Casten, and Bost or Miller
MI- Levin or Stevens
NC- Manning
WV- McKinley or Mooney
2022 US Senate Election Prediction- Democrats will have a net gain of 2 seats.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D) if Johnson-R retires.
VT Lt Governor Molly Gray is favored to be the next US Representative of VT.
Both of the VT US Senators Bernie Sanders and Peter Welch are old.
Sanders will be 83 in 2024. Welch will be 81 in 2028.
Gray is a likely candidate for the US Senate when Sanders or Welch decide to retire.
Dr Oz has not lived in or visited PA.
Fetterman’s margin of victory over Oz is going to be similar to Casey’s margin of victory over Santorum or Barletta.
US House seats the Democrats will gain and lose in 2022.
Democratic Loss
1)AZ-2(O’Halleran-D)
2)GA-7(Boudreaux-D or McBath-D)
3)MI-11(Levin-D or Stevens-D)
4)NJ-7(Malinowski-D) If Tom Kean jr. -R runs.
5)NC-11(Manning-D)
6)OH-6(Ryan-D)
7)OH-9(Kaptur-D)
8)VA-2(Luria-D)
9)WI-3(OPEN Kind-D)
Democratic Gain
1)CA-22(Valadao-R)
2)CA-27(Garcia-R)
3)CA-45(Steel-R)
4)CO-8(new)
5)IL-13(new)
6)MI-3(Mejier-R)
7)NM-2(Herrell-R)
8)OR-6(new)
9)TX-35(new)
The new MI-3rd CD is a +3D district but no Democrat has expressed interest yet.
The DCCC, MIDP, Grand Rapids MIDP, and Kent County MIDP need to recruit top tier Democratic politicians like
Grand Rapids Mayor Rosalynn Bliss-D
State Senator Winnie Brinks-D
State Representatives David LaGrand-D and/or Rachel Wood-D
In the new MI-10 CD-
Macomb County Executive Mark Hackel-D
State Senator Peter Wojno-D
State Representatives Kevin Hertel-D,Richard Steenland-D,Nate Shannon-D, Lori Stone-D, and/or William Sowerby-D.
Democrats guide to retaining majority control of the US Senate in 2022 is winning PA,WI,and NC.
There are 3 Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that are in the Tossup column. AZ,GA,and NV.
Democrats are going to win-
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
Does anyone see MI US Representative Levin and Stevens running for the US Senate in 2024/2026?
2024(Stabenow-D decides to retire after 4 terms. Stevens-D runs for that seat.)
2026(Peters-D gets a primary challenge from Levin-D for the seat previously held by Levin’s uncle.)
Incumbent vs Incumbent US House Races in NY and PA
NY(Katko-R vs Tenney-R) Tenney-R could also run against Delgado-D.
PA- since Lamb-D and Doyle-D are both leaving, The 2 US House Districts in Pittsburgh will be combined into 1.
Who will win the incumbent vs incumbent US House Races in 2022?
GA-7(Boudreaux-D vs McBath-D)Boudreaux-D.
IL-6(Casten-D vs Newman-D)Casten-D
IL-12(Bost-R vs Miller-R)Bost-R
MI-4(Huzienga-R vs Upton-R)Upton-R
MI-11(Levin-D vs Stevens-D)Levin-D
WV-2(McKinley-R vs Mooney-R)McKinley-R
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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AMNumber of posts: 8,617
