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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
December 29, 2021

Who will win the 10 battleground US Senate Races in 2022

1)AZ(Kelly-D)
2)CO(Bennet-D)
3)FL(Rubio-R)
4)GA(Warnock-D)
5)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
6)NH(Hassan-D)
7)NC(Budd-R or McCrory-R)
8)OH(Mandel-R)
9)PA(Fetterman-D)
10)WI(Barnes-D)

December 29, 2021

2022 US House Election in MI-3. Who should the Democrats nominate?

Grand Rapids Mayor Rosalynn Bliss-D.

Mayor of Grand Rapids, largest city based in MI-3.
Bliss-D could make the race against Meijer-R a pure Tossup.

Winnie Brinks-D state Senator from Grand Rapids.
David LaGrand-D state Representative from Grand Rapids.
Rachel Hood-D state Representative from Grand Rapids.

December 29, 2021

2022 Michigan and Virginia US House Redistricting.

Which Democratic US House member is going to be forced out of office next year?

Michigan-
Haley Stevens-D is not going to defeat Andy Levin-D in the new MI-11. Levin is a household name in MI. This is going to be like the 2002 MI US House Race between John Dingell-D and Lynn Rivers-D.
Virginia-
Elaine Luria-D- new district(VA-2) is a +6R district. Jennifer Wexton-D and Abigail Spanberger-D got Democratic friendly districts. Wexton(+8D) and Spanberger(+2D)

December 29, 2021

US Senate replacements for

Feinstein-CA,Murray-WA,Wyden-OR,Durbin-IL and Reed-RI.

Feinstein-CA(2024)
Xavier Becerra-D
Fiona Ma-D
Murray-WA(2028)
Suzanne DelBene-D
Pramila Jayapal-D
Marilyn Strickland-D
Wyden-OR(2028)
Shemia Fagan-D
Tobias Reed-D
Durbin-IL(2026)
Julianna Stratton-D
Kwame Raoul-D
Susana Mendoza-D
Reed-RI(2026)
Gina Raimondo-D
Sabina Matos-D
Nellie Gorbea-D




December 29, 2021

If John Hickenlooper-CO and Mark Warner-VA decide to leave in 2026,

Who is likely to replace Hickenlooper-CO and Warner-VA?
Hickenlooper-CO
Polis-D is the frontrunner being a 5 term member of the US House and 2 term Governor.
After Polis-D, Neguse-D and/or Crow-D- both are members of the US House since 2018.
Warner-VA
It is likely to be Youngkin-R vs
Luria-D,Spanberger-D,and Wexton-D- All 3 of them are rising star US House members from swing districts.

December 29, 2021

Harry Reid became the Senate Democratic Leader after Tom Daschle left.

How was Tom Daschle as Senate Democratic Leader?
I was watching C-SPAN in the late 1990’s and saw Reid getting into a debate with my favorite AR US Senator Dale Bumpers. I liked David Pryor more than I liked Mark Pryor. If Mark behaved more like his father and Dale Bumpers. Would his margin of defeat get smaller?

December 29, 2021

US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats are more likely to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

December 29, 2021

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 in order to remain in the majority.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

December 29, 2021

If Huffington-R had won the 1994 CA US Senate Race, Who would be currently holding that seat?

Feinstein-D was the Democratic nominee in 1994.
Huffington-R loses re-election in 2000 due to Gore’s coattails.

1)Xavier Becerra - serves from 2001 to present. Does not become HHS Secretary since the other CA US Senator Kamala Harris became VP.



December 29, 2021

RIP Harry Reid.

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