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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
October 18, 2021

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that Democrats are likely going to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)VT(Leahy-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NH(Hassan-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)


October 17, 2021

US Senate seats that Democrats are likely to win in 2022.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D).
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D) vs Laxalt-R
48)AZ(Kelly-D) vs Brnovich-R
49)GA(Warnock-D) vs Walker-R
50)PA(Fetterman-D) vs Parnell-R
51)NH(Hassan-D) vs Sununu-R
52)WI(Barnes-D) vs Johnson-R

October 17, 2021

2022 IL Congressional Redistricting- Did IL-3(Lipinski/Newman) become less Democratic to protect

Underwood-D and Casten-D.

IL-3 went from +6D to +3D
IL-6 went from +3D to +6D
IL-14 went from +2R to +2D

October 17, 2021

Who should the Democrats recruit and nominate for the 2022 NH Governor's Race?

NH might be an open seats due to the possibility of Sununu-R running for the US Senate.

Annie McLane Kuster-D, the current US Representative from NH-2cd.

October 17, 2021

US Senate seats that Democrats are likely to win in 2022 by a landslide to narrow margin.

37)HI(Schatz-D)unopposed
38)CA(Padilla-D) vs another D(Jerome Horton) in the 11/2022 general election.
39)VT(Leahy-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NH(Hassan-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)



October 17, 2021

In Blue States that currently have Republican Governors, Who is likely to be the Democratic nominee?

MD(Hogan-R is term limited) Rushern Baker-D. County Executive of Prince George County.(2010-2018) Democratic candidate for the 2018 MD Gubernatorial Election(made a strong 2nd place finish. Jealous-D 40% Baker-D 29%.)
MA(Baker-R is eligible to seek re-election.) Maura Healey-D(State Attorney General).
VT(Scott-R is going to seek re-election) T.J. Donovan-D(State Attorney General).

October 17, 2021

2022 US Gubernatorial Election Prediction.

AL(Ivey-R)1R
AK(Dunleavy-R)2R
AZ(Hobbs-D)1D
AR(Huckabee Sanders-R)3R
CA(Newsom-D)2D
CO(Polis-D)3D
CT(Lamont-D)4D
FL(Crist-D)5D
GA(Abrams-D)6D
HI(Green-D)7D
ID(Little-R)4R
IL(Pritzker-D)8D
IA(Reynolds-R)5R
KS(Kelly-D)9D
ME(Mills-D)10D
MD(Rushern Baker-D)11D
MA(Charlie Baker-R)6R
MI(Whitmer-D)12D
MN(Walz-D)13D
NE(Herbster-R)7R
NV(Sisolak-D)14D
NH(Ayotte-R)8R
NM(Lujan Grisham-D)15D
NY(Hochul-D)16D
OH(Cranley-D or Whaley-D)17D
OK(Stitt-R)9R
OR(Brown-D)18D
PA(Shapiro-D)19D
RI(McKee-D)20D
SC(McMaster-R)10R
SD(Noem-R)11R
TN(Lee-R)12R
TX(O’Rourke-D)21D
VT(Scott-R)13R
WI(Evers-D)22D
WY(Gordon-R)14R
2021
NJ(Murphy-D)23D
VA(McAuliffe-D)24D
2023
KY(Beshear-D)25D
LA(Richmond-D)26
MS(Reeves-R)15R
Not up for re-election until 2024
DE(Carney-D)27D
IN(Holcomb-R)16R
MO(Parson-R)17R
MT(Gianforte-R)18R
NC(Cooper-D)28D
ND(Durgum-R)19R
UT(Herbert-R)20R
WA(Inslee-D)29D
WV(Justice-R)21R

October 16, 2021

US House Seats that Democrats are likely to gain or lose in 2022.

Democrats lose
1)AZ-1(O’Halleren-D)
2)GA-6(McBath-D) or GA-7(Boudreaux-D)
3)IA-3(Axne-D)
4)MI-8(Slotkin-D) or MI-11(Stevens-D)
5)OH-13(OPEN Ryan-D)
6)PA-8(Cartwright-D)
7)PA-17(OPEN Lamb-D)
8)VA-7(Spanberger-D)
9)WI-3(OPEN Kind-D)

Democrats gain
1)CA-21
2)CA-25
3)CA-39
4)CO-8
5)OR-6
6)TX-37

Democrats will have a net loss of 3 US House seats in 2022.

October 16, 2021

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that Democrats are favored to win.

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CT(Blumenthal-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)VT(Leahy-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NH(Hassan-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

October 16, 2021

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that Democrats have a greater than 50% chance of winning

Greater than 50% chance of winning.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)NH(Hassan-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

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