nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalWhich CO US Senator is going to leave office 1st? What year are they going to leave?
Hickenlooper-D will be 74 in 2026 the next he is up for re-election and 80 in 2032.
Bennet-D has been in office since 2009. He is likely to retire in 2028 or 2034.
Whoever leaves office 1st will be succeeded by US Representatives Joe Neguse and/or Jason Crow.
Both Neguse and Crow have been in the US House since 2019.
What is the likelihood of NC having 2 black female US Senators five years from now?
Cheri Beasley-D wins in 2022.
Erica Smith-D wins in 2026.
2022 WI Democratic US Senate candidate Alex Lasry's father Mark Lasry is the co-owner of the Bucks.
Mark Lasry bought the Bucks basketball team from former WI US Senator Herb Kohl-D. Lasry can self fund.
Which US Senators running for re-election in 2022 is likely to lose re-election?
On the Democratic side-
Warnock-GA has to face voters again in the 1/2023 runoff which is going to be a Tossup.
Other vulnerable Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2022(Kelly-AZ,Cortez Masto-NV,Hassan-NH,Bennet-CO,and Murray-WA) are going to win re-election.
On the Republican side-
Johnson-WI
How strong of a candidate is Mandela Barnes? If Mandela Barnes does not appeal to swing voter, Will an alternative like Alex Lasry become the Democratic nominee and Can Lasry defeat Johnson?
The open Republican held US Senate seats up in 2022 that will go Democratic.
PA- Fetterman-D or Lamb-D defeats McCormick-R or Oz-R
NC-Beasley-D defeats McCrory-R,Budd-R or Walker-R.
OH-Ryan-D defeats Gibbons-R,Mandel-R,Timken-R or Vance-R?
Who is likely to become the next US Senator from CO when Hickenlooper or Bennet decide to retire?
Joe Neguse-D or Jason Crow-D?
Hickenlooper or Bennet is likely to retire from 2026 to 2034.
Hickenlooper-D 2026 or 2032
Bennet-D 2028 or 2034.
Neguse-D and/or Crow-D is likely to be their replacements.
What would the outcome of the 2026 US Senate Election be is Biden/Harris-D is in the WH?
Republicans will win-
AL(Tuberville-R)
AK(Sullivan-R)
AR(Cotton-R)
ID(Risch-R or Fulcher-R)
IA(Ernst-R)
KS(Marshall-R)
KY(McConnell-R or Barr-R)
LA(Cassidy-R)
MS(Hyde Smith-R)
MT(Daines-R)
NE(Sasse-R)
OK(McMullin-R winner of the 2022 special.)
SC(Graham-R)
SD(Rounds-R)
TN(Hagerty-R)
WV(Moore Capito-R)
WY(Lummis-R)
Democrats will win
CO(Hickenlooper-D or Neguse-D)
Neguse-D will be the 1st black US Senator from CO.
DE(Coons-D)
GA(Ossoff-D)
IL(Durbin-D or Krishnamoorthi-D)
Krishnamoorthi-D will be the 1st Indian US Senator from IL.
MA(Markey-D or Pressley-D)
MI(Peters-D)
MN(Smith-D)
NJ(Booker-D)
NM(Ray Lujan-D)
OR(Merkley-D)
RI(Reed-D or Ciciline-D)
VA(Warner-D)
Tossup
ME(Collins-R) Republican victory.
ME(OPEN Collins-R) Democratic victory(Golden-D)
NH(Shaheen-D) Democratic victory.
NH(OPEN Shaheen-D) Sununu-R vs Pappas-D
NC(Tillis-D vs Jackson-D)
NC will have a black female US Senator in 2022(Beasley-D) so Smith-D will not be the Democratic nominee.
TX(Cornyn-R) Republican victory.
TX(OPEN Cornyn-R) Allred-D
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are going to be winning.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are likely to win.
37)CA(Padilla-D vs another Democrat in the 11/2022 general- Jerome Horton.)
2016(Harris-D vs Sanchez-D)
2018(Feinstein-D vs DeLeon-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Mast
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)NC(Beasley-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.
Democrats will end up with 51 to 54 US Senate seats after the 2022 US Senate Elections.
Democrats are definitely going to win.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
Democrats guide to 60 seats is
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)IA(Finkenauer-D)
57)MO(Kunce-D)
58)KY(Booker-D)
59)IN(McDermott-D)
60)UT(McMullin-I caucuses with the Democrats.)
How Democrats will retain majority control of the US Senate in 2022?
Democrats need 52 seats to avoid Manchin-WV and Sinema-AZ.
Warnock-GA is going to have to compete in the 1/2023 runoff.
37)CA(Padilla-D will compete against Horton-D in 11/2022 general election.)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Democrats will retain majority control of the US Senate.
50)PA(Fetterman-D) or GA(Warnock-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D) or GA(Warnock-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D) or GA(Warnock-D)
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