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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
March 11, 2022

Could anyone see the Democrats winning the 2022.US Senate Elections in NC and OH over the

2022 US Senate Elections in PA and WI?
Beasley-NC and Ryan-OH are much stronger candidates than Fetterman-PA and Barnes-WI.
In NC and OH, the Democratic Party is united, the Republican Party is not.
In PA, Both sides have a tough primary. Fetterman-D and/or Lamb-D vs McCormick-R and/or Oz-R.
In WI, the Democratic Party has a tough primary, Barnes-D vs Lasry-D.

March 11, 2022

US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrat will have a chance of winning.

HI(Schatz-D)37
VT(Welch-D)38
NY(Schumer-D)39
CA(Padilla-D)40
MD(Van Hollen-D)41
CT(Blumenthal-D)42
OR(Wyden-D)43
WA(Murray-D)44
IL(Duckworth-D)45
CO(Bennet-D)46
NH(Hassan-D)47
NV(Cortez Masto-D)48
AZ(Kelly-D)49
PA(Fetterman-D)50
GA(Warnock-D)51
WI(Barnes-D)52
NC(Beasley-D)53
OH(Ryan-D)54
FL(Demings-D)55
MO(Kunce-D)56
UT(McMullin-I caucuses with the Democrats.)57




March 11, 2022

US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats have a chance to win in order to get 60 seats.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)MO(Kunce-D or Sifton-D)
57)IA(Finkenauer-D or Franken-D)
58)IN(McDermott-D)
59)KY(Booker-D)
60)UT(McMullin-I/caucuses with the Democrats.)









March 11, 2022

US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will be winning.

CA(Padilla-D vs Bradley-R)37
NY(Schumer-D vs Pinion-R)38
HI(Schatz-D vs McDermott-R)39
MD(Van Hollen-D vs Chris Chaffee-R)40
CT(Blumenthal-D vs Klarides-R)41
VT(Welch-D vs Nolan-R)42
OR(Wyden-D vs Rae Perkins-R)43
IL(Duckworth-D vs Hubbard-R)44
WA(Murray-D vs Smiley-R)45
CO(Bennet-D vs Bremer-R)46
NH(Hassan-D vs Bolduc-R)47
AZ(Kelly-D vs Brnovich-R)48
NV(Cortez Masto-D vs Laxalt-R)49
GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R)50
PA(Fetterman-D vs McCormick-R)51
WI(Barnes-D vs Johnson-R)52
NC(Beasley-D vs McCrory-R)53
OH(Ryan-D vs Gibbons-R)54

March 11, 2022

US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will be likely going to win.

Solid D
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
Likely D
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Lean D
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
Tilt D
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
Tossup
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)


March 10, 2022

US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will win easily.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)





March 10, 2022

Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2024 likely to retire or face a tough race.

Face a tough race-
AZ(Sinema-D)primary challenge against Gallego-D or Stanton-D General Election against Ducey-R. Ducey-R has an easier time winning a US Senate Race in 2024 against a damaged incumbent Sinema-D than in 2022 against a fairly popular incumbent Kelly-D.
CA(Feinstein-D) if she faces a Democrat in the November General Election.
MT(Tester-D) either of the 2 MT US House Members.
NV(Rosen-D) Amodei-R
OH(Brown-D) Second place finisher in the Republican primary race for the 2022 OH US Senate Race.
WV(Manchin-D) Mooney-R.
Decides to retire.
CA(Feinstein-D) Porter-D
DE(Carper-D) Blunt Rochester-D
HI(Hirono-D) Kahele-D
ME(King-I) Golden-D
MD(Cardin-D) J. Sarbanes-D or Raskin-D
MI(Stabenow-D) Slotkin-D or Stevens-D
PA(Casey-D) Lamb-D
VT(Sanders-I/D) Gray-D


March 10, 2022

US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will easily win.

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
Tossup
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

March 10, 2022

How many US House seats will the Democrats have a net gain/loss in 2022.

Democrats will lose
1)WI-3(Kind-D is vacating.)
2)TX-34(Vela-D is vacating.)
3)TN-5(Cooper-D is vacating.)
4)OH-14(Ryan-D is vacating.)
5)MI-12(Lawrence-D is vacating.)
6)MI-11(Levin-D or Stevens-D)
7)IL-6(Casten-D or Newman-D)
8)GA-7(Boudreaux-D or McBath-D)
9)CA-42(Roybal Allard-D and Lowenthal-D are vacating.)
10)CA-9(McNerney-D is vacating.)
11)AZ-6(Kirkpatrick-D is vacating.)
12)AZ-2(O’Halleran-D)
13)ME-2(Golden-D)
Democrats will gain
1)CA-13
2)CA-22
3)CA-27
4)CA-45
5)CO-8
6)FL-26
7)FL-27
8)IL-3
9)IL-13
10)MI-3
11)MI-13
12)NM-2
13)NY-1
14)NY-11
15)NY-22
16)NC-14
17)OR-6
18)TX-15
19)TX-35

Democrats will have a net gain of 6 seats.
VA-3/5
PA-7/4
PA-8/3
OH-9/2
NJ-7/1
NH-1/0
MI-7/-1
MI-8/-2
KS-3/-3
IA-3/-4
CO-8/-5
Democrats will have a net loss of 5 seats.





March 9, 2022

US Senate seats up in 2022 that the Democrats will win.

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

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