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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
November 21, 2022

If Ben Cardin decides not to seek re-election to his MD US Senate seat in 2024,

Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks should be the Democratic nominee if she decides to run.
Alsobrooks will be the 1st black female US Senator from MD.
Alsobrooks is a Washington DC outsider unlike Raskin,Sarbanes,and Trone.
Alsobrooks served 2 terms as Prince George’s County State Attorney(2011-2019) and 2 terms as Prince George’s County Executive (2019-present).

November 21, 2022

Democratic nominee for US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that the Democrats will win.

HI(Hirono-D)
MA(Warren-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
VT(Gray-D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D) Prince George’s County Executive, Black Female single mother. https://www.marylandmatters.org/2022/10/11/josh-kurtz-when-will-alsobrooks-start-bustin-loose-politically/
CA(Breed-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
ME(Hannah Pingree-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
PA(Casey-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
TX(Julian Castro-D)

Female
HI
MA
NY
VT
MD
CA
MN
DE
WA
ME
WI
MI
NV






November 20, 2022

Democratic nominee in all of the US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2024.

HI(Hirono-D)
MA(Warren-D)
CA(Khanna-D)
VT(Balint-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
MD(Raskin-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
ME(Gideon-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
PA(Casey-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
TX(Allred-D)

November 20, 2022

Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Senate Elections.

AZ(Gallego-D)
CA(Breed-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Carper-D or Blunt Rochester-D)
FL(Murphy-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
IN(Buttigeig-D)
ME(King-I/D or Jackson-D)
MD(Cardin-D or Sarbanes-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
MS(Presley-D)
MO(Sifton-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NE regular(Shelton-D)
NE special(Mello-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
ND(Hedger-D)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
TN(Yarbro-D)
TX(Julian Castro-D or Scott Kelly-D)
UT(Weston-D or McAdams-D)
VT(Sanders-I/D or Krowinski-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
WY(Rothfuss-D or Connolly-D)

November 19, 2022

Could Democrats gain US Senate seats in 2026?

Democrats have to hold onto
GA(Ossoff-D) vs Kemp-R
MI(Peters-D) vs James-R
MN(Smith-D) vs Fischbach-R
Democrats need to pick up
ME(Collins-R) Golden-D or Jackson-D
NC(Tillis-R) Cooper-D

November 19, 2022

How many electoral votes will the Democratic nominee Biden will at least have in 2024?

AZ-11
CA-54/65
CO-10/75
CT-7/82
DE-3/85
DC-3/88
HI-4/92
IL-19/111
ME-3/114
MD-10/125
MA-11/136
MI-15/151
MN-10/161
NV-6/167
NH-4/171
NJ-14/185
NM-5/190
NY-28/218
OR-8/226
PA-19/245
RI-4/249
VT-3/252
VA-13/265
WA-12/277
GA-16/293
WI-10/303

November 19, 2022

Who will the Republicans nominate for the Democratic held US Senate seats in 2024.

AZ(Sinema-D or Gallego-D)Yee-R
ME(King-I) Poliquin-R
MI(Stabenow-D)Dixon-R
MT(Tester-D)Knudsen-R
NV(Rosen-D)Amodei-R
OH(Brown-D)Husted-R
WV(Manchin-D)Mooney-R
WI(Baldwin-D)Roth-R
PA(Casey-D)McCormick-R
VA(Kaine-D)Youngkin-R

Will the Republicans nominate them or a Trumpian candidate?





November 19, 2022

There is no Republican held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2024 that Democrats will win.

FL(Scott-R) 2022 Election Results, Democrats lost every statewide elected office by landslide margin.
IN(OPEN Braun-R) red state. Braun is on the ballot for Governor.
MS(Wicker-R) red state.
MO(Hawley-R) red state.
NE(Fischer and whoever replaces Sasse) red state.
ND(Cramer-R) red state.
TN(Blackburn-R) red state.
UT(Romney-R) appeals to the McMullin voters.
WY(Barrasso-R) red state.
TX(Cruz-R) Julian Castro since he does not currently hold any political office.
TX is the only Republican US Senate seat up for re-election in 2024 that can flip if Castro is the Democratic Nominee.

November 19, 2022

Breakdown of the US House.

Democrat- 212
Republican- 219
Undecided
AK(Petolka-D)213
CA-3(Kiley-R)220
CA-13(Duarte-R)221
CA-22(Valadao-R)222.

Democrats need a net gain of 5 seats to regain control of the US House in 2024.
Democrats lose AK(Republicans will nominate a candidate that is better than Palin-R)
Democrats lose WA-3
Democrats will win
1)AZ-1
2)AZ-6
3)CA-13
4)MI-10
5)NY-4
6)NY-17
7)OR-5


November 19, 2022

Democrats will retain a majority in the US Senate in 2024.

2022
Democrats hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 including GA,NV,AZ and NH and pick up PA.
2024
Democrats hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2024 except WV. In AZ Sinema gets replaced by Gallego. Tester-MT and Brown-OH remain in the US Senate by a narrow margin.
50-50 VP Harris breaks the Tie Vote.

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