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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
July 13, 2022

US Senate Elections that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to tilt margin.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

1 Incumbent loses re-election. WI(Johnson-R)

Democrats win open US Senate seats in VT,PA,NC and OH.
Republicans win open US Senate seats in AL,MO,and OK special.

July 13, 2022

2022 US Senate Elections between strong Democrats vs weak Republicans.

CA(Padilla-D)
VT(Welch-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
HI(Schatz-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
WA(Murray-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
NC(Beasley-D)

July 13, 2022

What does the Democrats and Independents think of Kamala Harris?

Kamala Harris becomes the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee if Biden takes a pass or 2028 if Biden runs for a 2nd term.

July 13, 2022

2022 US Senate Election Prediction +2D to +4D

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)+1D
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)+2D
53)OH(Ryan-D)+3D
54)NC(Beasley-D)+4D

July 12, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats are likely to win in 2022.

CA(Padilla-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
HI(Schatz-D)
VT(Welch-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
WA(Murray-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
OH(Ryan-D)

July 12, 2022

Based on public opinion polling, Democrats lose GA and NV but gain PA,OH,and WI.

+1D.
Democrats will hold onto battleground US Senate seats in AZ,CO,NH,and WA.

Democrats will end up winning NV,GA,PA,OH,and WI.
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
WI(Barnes-D)

If things go well, FL(Demings-D) and NC(Beasley-D)

July 12, 2022

At a minimum, Democrats will at least have a net gain of 2 US Senate seats in 2022.

Hold onto
Safe to Vulnerable
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)

Pick up
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

July 12, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win by a solid to slight margin.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)CA(Padilla-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

July 12, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will end up winning.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)CA(Padilla-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetter
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)





July 11, 2022

The maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats are expected to win in 2022.

Democratic incumbents seeking re-election.
1/37)CA(Padilla-D)
2/38)HI(Schatz-D)
3/39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
4/40)NY(Schumer-D)
5/41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
6/42)IL(Duckworth-D)
7/43)OR(Wyden-D)
8/44)WA(Murray-D)
9/45)CO(Bennet-D)
10/46)NH(Hassan-D)
11/47)AZ(Kelly-D)
12/48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
13/49)GA(Warnock-D)
Democratic incumbent not seeking re-election.
14/50)VT(OPEN Leahy-D/Welch-D)
Open Republican held US Senate seats that the Democrats will win.
15/51)PA(OPEN Toomey-R/Fetterman-D)
16/52)OH(OPEN Portman-R/Ryan-D)
17/53)NC(OPEN Burr-R/Beasley-D)
Republican incumbent likely to lose re-election.
18/54)WI(Johnson-R/Barnes-D)

Republican incumbent likely to lose re-election if 2022 is a wave.
19/55)FL(Rubio-R/Demings-D)
20/56)IA(Grassley-R/Franken-D)

Other Republican held US Senate seats the Democrats could win.
21/57)MO(OPEN Blunt-R/Kunce-D) if Grietens-R is the Republican nominee.

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