nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalUS Senate Elections in the states that the Democrats are likely to win in 2022.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)CT(Blumenthal-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
US Senate Races in the states that the Democrats will win in 2022.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)MO(Kunce-D)
56)IA(Finkenauer-D)
Trump 2016 and Trump 2020 battleground states that narrows Trump's margin of victory.
IA 1.21
NC 2.31
OH 0.10
TX 3.41
FL is the only Trump battleground state which his margin of victory expands.
Democrats that won the 2018 US Senate Elections by a single digit margin.
1 and 2) Sinema(AZ) and Rosen(NV) are both in their 1st term. If Kelly(AZ) and Cortez Masto(NV) win re-election in 2022, Democrats can hold onto AZ and NV in 2024.
3 and 4) Manchin(WV) and Tester(MT) are in ruby red states. Both won re-election in 2012(Republican Presidential Election Victory.
5 and 6) Brown(OH) and Stabenow(MI) both won by a 7 percent margin.
Democrats are going to win all of those US Senate races in 2024.
Who wins the general election in the 2024 AZ US Senate Election between
Ruben Gallego-D vs Andy Biggs-R? Biggs wins the Republican Primary over Doug Ducey-R.
Republican nominee in AZ could also be Paul Gosar,David Schweikert and Debbie Lasko.
The maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will have after 2022 is 57
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)IA(Finkenaur-D or Franken-D)
57)MO(Kunce-D) if Greitens is the Republican nominee.
2026 is the year for Democrats to get 60 US Senate seats.
2022- Hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2022 including AZ,GA,NH,and NV and pick up PA,WI,NC, and OH=54
2024- Hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2024 including AZ,MT,NV,OH,and WV and pick up FL(Scott is more unpopular than Rubio.) and TX.(Scott Kelly,Colin Allred or one of the Castro Brothers.) defeating Cruz. 56
2026- Hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2026 including GA and MI and pick up IA,ME,NC,and TX.
Which 2022 GA US Senate poll is credible?
Landmark Communication- a Walker internal poll that has Walker leading by 10 or Survey USA an independent poll that has Warnock leading by 5.
Which TX Democrat is likely to unseat Cruz in 2024?
Scott Kelly?
The Castro Twins?
Colin Allred?
Democrats could actually end up with 54 US Senate seats after 2022 if WI,NC, and OH is included.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
I did not include FL because Rubio is not that unpopular like Johnson is in WI. In NC and OH the Republican nominees are pretty weak.
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