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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
April 19, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will end up winning.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)





April 18, 2022

Which Incumbent US Senator up for re-election in 2022 is more likely to lose?

Johnson(R-WI)
Cortez Masto(D-NV)
Kelly(D-AZ)
Warnock(D-GA)

Warnock succeeds in the 1/2023 runoff.
Johnson is more likely to lose re-election.

April 18, 2022

Who is going to be the Democratic nominee for 2025 VA Governor,

2026 VA US Senator if Warner decides not to seek re-election?
2030 VA US Senator if Kaine decides not to seek re-election?

The Democratic nominee for Governor and both US Senate seats is going US Representatives Luria-D,Spanberger-D, or Wexton-D.
Other candidates are 2021 Democratic nominee for VA Lt Governor Hala Ayala-D.

April 18, 2022

Who is more likely to win?

Ryan(OH) or Beasley(NC)?
OH is a red state but Ryan(OH) is a top tier candidate while the Republican candidates in OH are not.
In NC, the Democratic nominee is a defeated state Chief Justice of the NC Supreme Court. The big question how strong or weak of a candidate is Ted Budd?

April 18, 2022

2022 Governors Elections that the Democrats are going to win.

AZ(Hobbs-D)
CA(Newsom-D)
CO(Polis-D)
CT(Lamont-D)
Let’s hope Crist(D-FL) defeats DeSantis(R-FL)
GA(Abrams-D)
HI(Green-D)
IL(Pritzker-D)
KS(Kelly-D)
ME(Mills-D)
MD(Franchot-D)
MA(Healey-D)
MI(Whitmer-D)
MN(Walz-D)
NV(Sisolak-D)
NM(Lujan Grisham-D)
NY(Hochul-D)
OR(Kotek-D)
PA(Shapiro-D)
RI(McKee-D)
WI(Evers-D)

April 18, 2022

US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats are definitely going to win.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)



April 17, 2022

US Senate Elections in 2022 that the Democrats will win in order to remain in the majority.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

April 17, 2022

US House Districts Democrats need to win to remain in the majority.

Democrats lose
1)AZ-2
2,3,4,5) FL CDs
6)GA-6
7)ME-2
8)TN-5
Democratic incumbents who have to leave due to Redistricting
9)CA-9
10)CA-42
11)GA-7
12)IL-6
13)MI-11
14)MI-12
15)TX-34
Democrats will win new CD’s
14)CA-13
13)CO-8
12)IL-3
11)IL-13
10)MI-13
9)NC-14
8)OR-6
7)TX-15
6)TX-35
Democrats will pick up Republican CDs
5)CA-22
4)CA-27
3)CA-45
2)MI-3
1)NM-2
0)NY-1
-1)NY-11
-2)NY-22
-3)OH-1
Democrats lose
-2)AZ-6
-1)IA-3
0)KS-3
1)MI-7
2)NJ-7
3)OH-9
4)PA-7
5)PA-8
6)VA-2
7)WI-3

Democrats will have a net loss of 7 seats.



April 17, 2022

US Senate Elections in 2022 in the states the Democrats are favored to win.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)








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