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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
July 1, 2023

I like to see WA US Senator Patty Murray not seek re-election in 2028 in order for Pramila Jayapal

to become US Senator.
Jayapal will become the first Indian born United States Senator (from WA). She currently represents Seattle in the US House of Representatives.
Jayapal is a member(chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus), Medicare for All Caucus.
Patty Murray has been in the US Senate since 1993.
Patty Murray should do to Pramila Jayapal in 2028 WA US Senate Election what Tom Carper is doing to Lisa Blunt Rochester in the 2024 DE US Senate Election. WA other Democratic US Senator Maria Cantwell is seeking re-election next year in 2024.

July 1, 2023

Sherrod Brown(D-OH) statewide election victory in 1982,1986,2006,2012,and 2018.

1982-OH Secretary of State Reagan’s first midterm, Democratic nominee for Governor Dick Celeste won by a 20 percent margin. Howard Metzenbaum-D won re-election to a 2nd US Senate term by a 15 percent margin.
1986-OH Secretary of State Reagan’s second midterm, Dick Celeste won re-election to the OH Governorship by a 21 percent margin.
2006- US Senate against Mike DeWine-R, Brown-D won by a 12 percent margin. The Democratic nominee for Governor Ted Strickland won by a 24 percent margin.
2012- US Senate. Barack Obama-D carried OH by a 3 percent margin. Sherrod Brown-D won re-election by a 6 percent margin.
2018- US Senate. Trump midterm, Sherrod Brown-D won re-election by a 7 percent margin.
The only election that Sherrod Brown lost was the 1990 OH Secretary of State Re-election to Bob Taft III who was a legacy candidate. The Republican nominee for Governor George Voinovich won by a 12 percent margin.

The 2024 US Senate Election in OH is going to be a Presidential Election year.
Is Trump or DeSantis going to win the popular vote in OH by a margin greater than 8 percent? Joe Biden should not ignore OH in exchange for TX. Sherrod Brown will win re-election but by a less than 5 percent margin.
Republicans are suggesting that OH is like IA. A battleground state turned Republican.

July 1, 2023

How about giving Washington DC to the state of VA?

The Washington DC area US House member from VA will have voting power.
Virginia will become a safe Democratic state. Republicans will have no chance of winning statewide in VA with the Washington DC voters.
Washington DC statehood gives the Washington DC area US House member voting power and Democrats 2 additional US Senate seats. 52D 50R.

July 1, 2023

Does GA Governor Brian Kemp-R run for the US Senate against Jon Ossoff-D in 2026 or does he not run

Doug Ducey(R-AZ) in 2022 against Mark Kelly(D-AZ)
Larry Hogan(R-MD) in 2022 against Chris Van Hollen(D-MD) - Hogan-R was going to lose.
If Brian Kemp(R-GA) does not run for the US Senate in 2026. The Republican nominee will not be Lt Governor Burt Jones(R-GA),Attorney General Christopher Carr(R-GA) and Secretary of State Brad Raffensberger(R-GA).

Jon Ossoff(D-GA) wins re-election to the US Senate in 2026.
Gary Peters(D-MI) wins re-election to the US Senate in 2026.
Tina Smith(D-MN) wins re-election to the US Senate in 2026.
Jeanne Shaheen(D-NH) wins re-election to the US Senate in 2026.
Mark Warner(D-VA) wins re-election to the US Senate in 2026.
Ben Ray Lujan(D-NM) wins re-election to the US Senate in 2026.
John Hickenlooper(D-CO) wins re-election to the US Senate in 2026.
Cory Booker(D-NJ) wins re-election to the US Senate in 2026.
Jeff Merkley(D-OR) wins re-election to the US Senate in 2026.
Chris Coons(D-DE) wins re-election to the US Senate in 2026.
Jack Reed(D-RI) wins re-election to the US Senate in 2026.
Ed Markey(D-MA) wins re-election to the US Senate in 2026.
Democrats hold onto Richard Durbin(D-IL) US Senate seat in 2026(Lauren Underwood-D.

Democrats will hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up for election in 2026.
Democrats have a great opportunity to pick up
NC(Tillis-R). Roy Cooper-D or Jeff Jackson-D.



July 1, 2023

Who will win a 2026 MI US Senate Election rematch between Gary Peters-D vs John James-R?

Gary Peters-D defeated John James-R in 2020 MI US Senate Election by a 1.7 percent margin.
John James-R was narrowly elected to the new MI-10 US House district in 2022 by a .5 percent margin.
John James-R narrowly loses re-election to the MI-10 US House district in 2024.
John James-R runs for the US Senate against Gary Peters-D in 2026.

Gary Peters-D defeats John James-R in the 2026 MI US Senate Election rematch by a wider margin.

July 1, 2023

Who will be the next senior Democratic US Senator to retire?

Patty Murray(WA-2028)
Ron Wyden(OR-2028)
Dick Durbin(IL-2026)
Jack Reed(RI-2026)
Chuck Schumer(NY-2028)

Pramila Jayapal replaces Patty Murray in WA.
The winner of OR-5(Janelle Bynum or Lynn Petersen) Ron Wyden in OR.
Lauren Underwood replaces Dick Durbin in IL.
Sabina Matos replaces Jack Reed in RI.
Alexandria Ocasio Cortez replaces Chuck Schumer in NY.

July 1, 2023

The next US Senators from CO,CT,HI,IL,IA,KY,ME,MA,NH,NJ,NY,NC,OR,RI,VT,VA,WA,and WI.

CO(Joe Neguse-D)2032
CT(Jahana Hayes-D)2028
HI(Josh Green-D)2030
IL(Lauren Underwood-D)2026
IA(Pat Grassley-R)
KY(James Comer-R) most craziest conservative in a conservative Republican state. 2026.
ME(Jared Golden-D)2026 or 2030.
MA(Ayanna Pressley-D)2026 or 2030
NH(Chris Pappas-D)2032
NJ(Mikie Sherrill-D)2030
NY(Alexandria Ocasio Cortez-D)2028
NC(Jeff Jackson-D)2026
OR(Andrea Salinas-D)2028
RI(Sabina Matos-D)2026
VT(Becca Balint-D)2030
VA(Abigail Spanberger-D)2032
WA(Pramila Jayapal-D)2028
WI(Sara Rodriguez-D)2028

AZ(Ruben Gallego-D)
CA(Adam Schiff-D)
DE(Lisa Blunt Rochester-D)
IN(Jim Banks-D)
MD(Angela Alsobrooks-D)
MI(Elissa Slotkin-D)
TX(Colin Allred-D)
WY(Jim Justice-R)

July 1, 2023

Is Roy Cooper(D-NC) going to seek the Democratic nomination for the US Senate in 2026?

Cooper-D will defeat Tillis-R if he decides to run.

July 1, 2023

Democrats will end up with 53 US Senate seats after 3 US Senate Election cycles.

2024- lose WV, hold onto MT,OH,AZ,NV,WI,MI,and PA. 50D 50R.
2026- hold onto GA,MI,NH,MN,VA,NM,and CO. Pick up NC. 51D 49R.
2028- hold onto GA,NV,AZ,PA,and NH. Pick up NC and WI. 53D 47R.

July 1, 2023

2028 is going to be the year most of the senior US Senators are up for re-election.

Chuck Grassley(R-IA) if he is able to complete his term. How does Pat Grassley become US Senator? Does he get appointed or elected?
Mitch McConnell(R-KY) term is up in 2026. Republicans should nominate James Comer-R. Democrats should nominate Andy Beasher-D.
Patty Murray(D-WA) will be replaced by Pramila Jayapal-D if she decides not to seek re-election.
Ron Wyden(D-OR) will be replaced by Val Hoyle-D or Andrea Salinas-D if he decides not to seek re-election.
Dick Durbin(D-IL) term is up in 2026. Lauren Underwood-D replaces Durbin decides not to seek re-election.
Jack Reed(D-RI) term is up in 2026. Reed’s predecessor’s grandson and Olympic figure skater Michelle Kwan’s ex husband Clay Pell should run for that seat.

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