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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
October 17, 2023

The ceiling for Democratic US Senators in the next US Congress is 52. The floor is at 48.

Democrats are going to win
CA(Schiff-D)29
VT(Sanders-I)30
HI(Hirono-D)31
MA(Warren-D)32
MD(Alsobrooks-D)33
NY(Gillibrand-D)34
RI(Whitehouse-D)35
CT(Murphy-D)36
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)37
MN(Klobuchar-D)38
WA(Cantwell-D)39
ME(King-I)40
NM(Heinrich-D)41
NJ(Kim-D)42
VA(Kaine-D)43
PA(Casey-D)44
WI(Baldwin-D)45
MI(Slotkin-D)46
NV(Rosen-D)47
AZ(Gallego-D)48
Tossup
OH(Brown-D)49
MT(Tester-D)50
TX(Allred-D)51
FL(Mucarsel Powell-D)52




October 16, 2023

US Senate Elections in states that the Democrats will win in 2024..

CA(Schiff-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
HI(Hirono-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
ME(King-I)
NJ(Kim-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)





October 15, 2023

The winners of the 2024 US Senate Election.

AZ(Gallego-D)
CA(Schiff-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
FL(Scott-R)
HI(Hirono-D)
IN(Banks-R)
ME(King-I)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
MS(Wicker-R)
MO(Hawley-R)
MT(Tester-D)
NE regular (Fischer-R)
NE special (Ricketts-R)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Kim-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
ND(Cramer-R)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
TN(Blackburn-R)
TX(Cruz-R)
UT(Wilson-R)
VT(Sanders-I)
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WV(Justice-R)
WI(Baldwin-D)
WY(Barrasso-R)

October 15, 2023

Which US Senator from CO is going to leave the US Senate 1st?

Michael Bennet(D-CO) has been in the US Senate since 2009. Bennet will be in the US Senate for over 19 years when he is up for re-election in 2028. Bennet will be the 2nd longest serving US Senator from CO.
John Hickenlooper(D-CO) is over 70 years old.

The next US Senator from CO will either be
Joe Neguse-D
Jason Crow-D
Brittany Pettersen-D
Yadira Caraveo-D




October 15, 2023

2026 US Senate Election in GA and MI if the Republican nominee in GA is-

GA
Brian Kemp-R
Burt Jones-R
Chris Carr-R is more likely to run for Governor.
Rich McCormick-R
Austin Scott-R
Mike Collins-R
Marjorie Taylor Greene-R
Which of these Republican will wait in 2028 to challenge Raphael Warnock-D?
MI
John James-R
Lisa McClann-R
Bill Hueizenga-R








October 15, 2023

US Senate seats the Democrats will win in 2024 if it is like 2016?

AZ(Gallego-D)29
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D)30
CT(Murphy-D)31
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)32
HI(Hirono-D)33
ME(King-D)34
MD(Alsobrooks-D)35
MA(Warren-D)36
MI(Slotkin-D)37
MN(Klobuchar-D)38
NV(Rosen-D)39
NJ(Kim-D)40
NM(Heinrich-D)41
NY(Gillibrand-D)42
PA(Casey-D)43
RI(Whitehouse-D)44
VT(Sanders-I)45
VA(Kaine-D)46
WA(Cantwell-D)47
WI(Baldwin-D)48
These states are the states Biden-D is going to win in 2024.
If it is like 2020
MT(Tester-D)49
OH(Brown-D)50


In 2016, the same political party won the states US Presidential and US Senate Election.
In 2020, the incumbents are personally popular.

October 15, 2023

What would the US Senate be like if 2024 is a wave election year?

Democratic wave.
29jAZ(Gallego-D)
30)CA
31)CT
32)DE
33)FL(Mucarsel Powell-D)
34)HI
35)ME
36)MD
37)MA
38)MI(Slotkin-D)
39)MN
40)MT(Tester-D)
41)NV(Rosen-D)
42)NJ(Kim-D)
43)NM
44)NY
45)OH(Brown-D)
46)PA(Casey-D)
47)RI
48)TX(Allred-D)
49)VT
50)VA
51)WA
52)WI(Baldwin-D).

Republican wave.
39)FL(Scott-R)
40)IN(Banks-R)
41)MS(Wicker-R)
42)MO(Hawley-R)
43)MT(Sheehy-R)
44)NE(Fischer-R)
45)NE(Ricketts-R)
46)ND(Cramer-R)
47)OH(LaRose-R)
48)TN(Blackburn-R)
49)TX(Cruz-R)
50)UT(Wilson-R)
51)WV(Justice-R)
52)WY(Barrasso-R)

FL,MT,OH,and TX are going to be in the Tossup colum.

October 15, 2023

US Senate Races the Democrats and Republicans won by a 0 to 5 percent margin in 2022.

Fetterman(D-PA)4.9 percent margin.
Kelly(D-AZ)4.9 percent margin.
Warnock(D-GA)0.9 percent margin.
Cortez Masto(D-NV)0.8 percent margin.
Johnson(R-WI)1.0 percent margin.
Budd(R-NC)3.2 percent margin.

In 2024
Slotkin(D-MI),Rosen(D-NV),Casey(D-PA), and Baldwin(D-WI) will win by a 5 to 10 percent margin.
Gallego(D-AZ),Tester(D-MT), and Brown(D-OH) will win by a 0 to 5 percent margin.
Scott(R-FL) and Cruz(R-TX) will win by a 0 to 5 percent margin.
Hawley(R-MO) and Justice(D-WV) will win by a 5 to 10 percent margin.


October 14, 2023

If Russ Feingold(D-WI) had not lost re-election in 2010, Would he still be serving in the US Senate?

Would Feingold(D-WI) win re-election in 2016 and 2022 if he decided to run?
Would Ron Kind(D-WI) win the 2016 WI US Senate Election if he was the Democratic nominee instead of Feingold. Ron Kind-D vs Ron Johnson-R in 2016.
Ron Kind(D-WI) was elected to the US House in 1996 while Tammy Baldwin(D-WI) was elected to the US House in 1998? WI-3 was a swing district before 2022.

The Class 3 WI US Senate seat will currently be held by a Democrat. (Russ Feingold or Ron Kind).

1)Feingold wins in 2010,2016,and 2022.
2)Feingold loses in 2010 and does not seek a re-match,
Kind is the Democratic nominee who wins in 2016 and 2022.

Would Democrats will currently hold the Class 2 NC US Senate seat if the Democratic nominee for the 2020 NC US Senate Selection was Grier Martin or Jeff Jackson?

Democrats will currently have 54 US Senate seats with
52)Bill Nelson(D-FL) had he not lost re-election in 2018. The 2024 FL US Senate Race would be a Tossup if Nelson decided to retire or remain Democrat due to FL Republican craziness.
53)Grier Martin(D-NC) if he was the Democratic nominee in 2020.
54)Ron Kind(D-WI) if he was the Democratic nominee in 2016 and 2022. Russ Feingold had he not lost in 2010 and 2016 and ran again in 2022.


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