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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
November 12, 2023

Who is likely to be the Democratic Nominee for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Biden cannot run in 2028 unless he loses in 2024.
Harris?
Moore-MD?
Klobuchar-MN?


Wes Moore faced a tough primary race to get elected Governor.
He is an author, businessperson, military veteran and television producer.
Aruna Miller becomes Governor of MD. The first Indian female Governor of MD.

Amy Klobuchar is a 4 term U.S. Senator from Lean Democratic state. She won all of her US Senate Races by a margin greater than 20 percent margin.

What higher elected office does Andy Beasher-KY have a greater chance of winning?
US Senator in 2026/2028?
US President in 2028?

















November 11, 2023

Who is the front runner for the Democratic nomination in the 2024 MD-3 US House Race?

Sarah Elfreth-D the current state senator from Anne Arundel County, has support from the Anne Arundel County political establishment. Anne Arundel County Executive Steuart Pittman.
Vanessa Atterbeary-D the current state delegate from Howard County and Howard County Executive Calvin Ball-D are the Howard County candidates.

November 11, 2023

The 3 female VA Democratic US House Members that were elected in 2018 are gone or going to leave.

Elaine Luria lost re-election in 2022.
Abigail Spanberger is leaving in 2024 to focus on getting elected Governor of VA in 2025.
Jennifer Wexton is leaving in 2024 due to an illness.


November 11, 2023

What is the difference between the 2024 US Senate Election in FL and TX?

The Democratic Nominee in FL- Debbie Mucarsel Powell narrowly got elected to the US House in 2018 but narrowly lost re-election in 2020.
The old FL-26 was +6D in 2018 and 2020.
The Democratic Nominee in TX- Colin Allred defeated Republican incumbent Pete Sessions in 2018 by a 6.5 percent margin and won re-election in 2020 and 2022.
The old TX-32 was +5R in 2018 and 2020.


November 11, 2023

US Senate seats that are likely to flip in 2026 and 2028.

2024
WV(Manchin-D)Justice-R
2026
GA(Ossoff-D)If Kemp-R is the Republican nominee.
Kemp can be like Governor Ducey(AZ) in 2022 and not run for the US Senate.
Republicans will nominate a MAGA candidate.
ME(Collins-R)Golden-D
NC(Tillis-R)Cooper-D or Nickel-D.
2028
WI(Johnson-R)Rodriguez-D,Godlewski-D,or Kaul-D.

2024 is a.50-50 with VP Harris.
2026 is a Democratic gain NC.
2028 is a Democratic gain WI.

November 11, 2023

Is Colonel Danny Bubp going to run for the US House of Representatives from OH-2CD?

He is the one that told Jean Schmidt that cowards cut and run.

November 11, 2023

5 Maryland County Executives getting elected to US Congress in 2024.

Alsobrooks(Prince George’s) US Senator.
Ball(Howard) US House MD-3
Gardner(Frederick) US House MD-6
Olszewski(Baltimore) US House MD-2 if Ruppersberger does not run.
Pittman(Anne Arundel) US House MD-5 if Hoyer does not run.

Raskin(MD-8),Mfume(MD-7),and Ivey(MD-4) are going to get re-elected.

November 10, 2023

Maryland Congressional Delegation that is endorsing Alsobrooks for the US Senate!

Van Hollen.
Hoyer
Mfume
Ivey.

Maryland Congressional Delegation that is endorsing Trone for the US Senate!
Ruppersberger.
Not endorsing anyone.
Cardin
Sarbanes
Raskin

November 10, 2023

What is more likely to happen?

Democrats win 2024 US Senate Races in OH and MT along with the purple states in AZ,MI,NV,PA,and WI?
Democrats win 2024 US Senate Races in either OH or MT plus the purple states in AZ,MI,NV,PA,and WI?
If Democrats win OH and MT, Will they win purple Republican held seats in FL?

OH,FL,and TX are states that Trump will carry by a single digit margin.
MT and MO are states Trump will carry by a double digit margin but is less Republican than KY.

November 9, 2023

Who will be the Democratic Nominee for the 2026 VA US Senate Election if Warner retires and Youngkin is the

Republican Nominee? What are their chances in defeating Youngkin?
Spanberger or Stoney. Both are going to run for Governor of VA in 2025. Whoever does not win the Democratic nomination for the 2025 VA Gubernatorial Election runs for the US Senate.
Luria
McClellan
Filler Corn






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