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mr_lebowski

Profile Information

Gender: Male
Hometown: Bay Area, CA
Home country: USA
Current location: AZ
Member since: Wed Feb 1, 2017, 03:51 AM
Number of posts: 17,600

Journal Archives

Want everyone to know that I voted for Biden in NV, AZ, WI, MI, PA, and GA.

Also, I'm totally already dead.

But that huge check from Soros will sustain my family for years!



Trump's life doesn't let him grock the situation that NO Court has authority to do something

that he wants to see done.

It's clear he imagines that an national POTUS election has some kind of court-based failsafe where if you can convince judges that 'the other side engaged in bad faith' that the whole thing can be nullified by a Court (in this case SCOTUS).

He is entirely wrong of course. The SCOTUS cannot, and WOULD NOT EVEN TRY to order the entire election invalid.

He MAY be able to get a few votes here or there thrown out. Maybe. That's the absolute best he can hope for.

I really don't think he understands this basic concept. It's never been true for him in his life, so he can't imagine it.

This AM I wanted to be sure it was all real and not just a dream I had last night so I asked Alexa

"Who is going to be next President of the United States"

And she let me know it was all real. And she said nothing about Trump or lawsuits or irregularities or ANYthing like that!

SNL Weekend Update with Kate McKinnon as Rudy ... freaking HILARIOUS ...

It's like my favorite thing since the early Alec Baldwin doing Trump skits ...

E.L.O. - All Over The World (flash mob) ... no way to not smile when this is on!

Among many that I wish were still around to see this historic victory ...

My Trump-HATING dad being first on the list ... I really wish John Lewis and Elijah Cummins were here ... they'd be beaming ...

MSNBC just filmed from Haight Ashbury ...

Standing right in front of my favorite restaurant in the world, CHA CHA CHA!!!

It's GOING OFF!!!

WOOT!!!

Man I wish I was there!!!

Lady Gaga - Born This Way - Up out your seats people!!!

Cranking my most favorite happy tune ...

Don't let the weird illustration put ya off ... if this don't get out of your chair ...

So, I was running numbers on Arizona based on the remaining votes, %'s, etc ...

When the GREAT NEWS CAME IN

But ... I still REALLY REALLY want AZ!!!

This is my spreadsheet:
https://1drv.ms/x/s!Aj11fxdu3vKCpkXEqq9Qtjt3dpsM?e=D5vABU

Column D is Trump's gain if the %'s currently seen in every county hold up for the remaining ballots. Column E is the current %'s + a % Trump handicap seen in column F ... at this point, I'm giving him +10%.

So if it were 50/50 right now, Column E is calculating his expected votes under a 60/40 advantage for Trump.

Basically, if he outperforms Biden by +10% higher than he has everywhere in the state so far ... he'll catch up.

Obviously not entirely precise but I was curious what we were looking at, so there it is ... gonna be RAZOR THIN either way.

Sorry didn't do all the county names, I copied this by hand, so ...


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