Advisers to President Trump say Joe Biden is the Democrat he most fears running against, and that Pennsylvania is the state he worries most about flipping against him.
Trumps calculation is based partly on how weak he sees other Democratic possibilities, including Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren, and partly on whos capable of appealing to his base of working class whites.
Biden, sources tell me, doesn't think Trump is morally or politically fit for the Oval Office.
The former vice president, who at 75 is three years older than Trump, pines to run and will test the waters this fall.
But family considerations could prevent him from ultimately pulling the trigger. Biden sees the same opening Trump does with working class voters, especially in Democratic states like Pennsylvania that Trump won.
Trump advisers say Biden, like the president, conveys authenticity, is comfortable in his own skin, can work a crowd, and relishes throwing and returning punches.
Biden could and would needle Trump, and get under his skin, with a brio that few other big-name Democrats could muster.
He has kept his connection to his birthplace Scranton, Pa., emblematic of the working-class, Rust Belt territory that joined Trump Country in 2016.
A Democratic source close to Biden said he'd be strong with "Obama-Trump voters" in states like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin where "the blue wall became the red threat" Obama won them twice, then they flipped narrowly to Trump.
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