bluewater
bluewater's JournalTrump campaign scoops up Biden's Latino voter web address, trolls his voter outreach
It didn't take long for the Trump campaign to figure out how to troll Joe Biden moments after the former vice president's campaign announced a Latino voter outreach program on Wednesday.
Biden, who spent the day campaigning across Pennsylvania and Iowa, announced "Todos Con Biden," a "national network of Latino supporters" working to help elect the former vice president earlier on Wednesday.
Now, the Trump campaign is using www.todosconbiden.com to mock the former vice president, with a landing page that says in both English and Spanish, "Oops, Joe forgot about Latinos." The page also links out to the president's own Latino outreach coalition "Latinos for Trump." And the @TodosConBiden Twitter account, in the possession of the Trump campaign, has already begun posting unflattering counter messaging targeting Biden.
The reelection team told ABC News they bought the URL for a "minimal cost" after the Trump campaign's coalition team noticed the URL for the new effort was still up for grabs.
...
"How the hell are you Joe Biden's campaign and you don't lock up the URL before you announce stuff?" Mike Madrid, a veteran Republican political consultant who's a vocal critic of the president told ABC News.
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-campaign-scoops-bidens-latino-voter-web-address/story?id=66483595
Harry Enten: so this is a good poll for her (Warren)
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1187017272398942212As I always say...
the polls are what the polls are
David Axelrod: Trump campaign to smear @JoeBiden has had the OPPOSITE effect
https://twitter.com/davidaxelrod/status/1186963793080918016As I always say...
the polls are what the polls are
Biden takes +2 lead in The Economist's Primary Polls tracker
After a good week of polling Joe Biden regains the lead in The Economist's Poll tracker:
https://projects.economist.com/democratic-primaries-2020/
Yep, Biden now +2 at 25% to Warren at 24%.
the polls are what the polls are
Warren avoiding answering how she plans to fund Medicare for All seems to have had a decided post debate impact.
Will 538 be doing their own Primary Polls tracker like The Economist's and RCP's?
Will 538 use a simple, unweighted 5 point moving average filter as RCP POLLS does?
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
Or will their approach be more like The Economist's?
https://projects.economist.com/democratic-primaries-2020/
Will Nate include all the C+ rated HarrisX polls in his own tracker?
Time will tell.
lol
Warren continues to lead in National Dem Primary Polls (Economist)
Warren 26%, Biden 25%, Sanders 15%, Buttigieg 6%
https://projects.economist.com/democratic-primaries-2020/
538: Who Democrats In Early-Primary States Don't Want To See Nominated
...
Another candidate with a substantial number of detractors is
Biden. Thats right, even though he still sits near the top of the polls, he was the No. 1 candidate who likely Democratic voters said they did not want to see as the nominee (30 percent) in that Iowa State University/Civiqs poll. Likewise, in Maskets August early-state activist survey, 31 percent (9 people) of those interviewed said they did not want to see Biden become the nominee. Granted, this was not anywhere close to the percentages who said they didnt want Messam, Gabbard, or Sanders nominated, but it was still quite high given how many activists also said they were still considering Biden (34 percent, or 10 people).
To be clear, this doesnt mean Sanders and Biden are actively disliked by the party; both of them actually have high favorability ratings 73 percent and 72 percent of Democrats had favorable opinions of Biden and Sanders, according to an average of national August polls by FiveThirtyEights Nathaniel Rakich. And if you look at Iowa surveys that also ask this question, Democrats have a fairly favorable view of both Biden and Sanders. But our question is different were not asking whether respondents like a candidate; were asking who they dont want to win the nomination. And while that question might capture some candidates who people dislike, its also entirely plausible that many Democrats like Biden and Sanders but still dont want them to be the nominee.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/who-democrats-in-early-primary-states-dont-want-to-see-nominated/
The Myth about Sanders -- that "only" White voters support him is FALSE
Looking at the demographics breakdown provided by The Economist's analysis of 2020 Primary polls we see the following statistics for voter support:
Sanders: 14% White, 11% Black, 19% Hispanic, 17% Other Ethnicity
Warren:. 31% White, 15% Black, 17% Hispanic, 21% Other Ethnicity
So, Sanders has support of 11% of Black voters polled compared to 14% support among white voters.
Sanders also has support of 19% of Hispanic voters polled compared to 14% support among white voters.
huh. So much for THAT Bernie bashing myth, hmmm?
Check out these demographics for yourself at The Economist's 2020 Primary site, scroll down to see all the demographics including age and education levels:
https://projects.economist.com/democratic-primaries-2020/
Will current statistics like these stop the Bernie Bashing "his crowds are so white, he has no support among people of color" posts we see so often? I wager not.
538: No one is getting many endorsements
https://twitter.com/MattGrossmann/status/1186269949792272384Sen. Elizabeth Warren has moved into the top tier of the Democratic primary field in national polls, joining former Vice President Joe Biden. Further, she leads in Iowa and New Hampshire and raised more than anyone except Sen. Bernie Sanders from July through September.
And yet, according to our endorsement tracker, Warren isnt getting much support from Democratic Party elites, such as elected officials and members of the Democratic National Committee. In fact, she doesnt just trail Biden in endorsement points by our metrics, but also Sens. Cory Booker and Kamala Harris, who are both well behind her in polling and fundraising. Warren is fifth in endorsements from Democratic state legislators (behind Biden, Booker, Harris and Sanders), according to research by Boris Shor, a political scientist at the University of Houston. And its not just that Warren is getting stiffed by more centrist Democrats who might disagree with her on the issues: Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York and Ilhan Omar of Minnesota endorsed Sanders last week.
No one is getting many endorsements
This is probably the simplest and best explanation. The clear leader in endorsements is really not Biden, but undecided.
By this point in the 2016 Democratic primary, in contrast, a huge bloc Democratic governors, senators and representatives had chosen a candidate, Hillary Clinton. But this cycle, the overwhelming majority of congressional Democrats and Democratic governors are still on the sidelines.1 Indeed, the 2020 Democratic primary looks more like the 2016 Republican primary, when most GOP officials held their fire until deep into the race, than that years Democratic race.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-arent-more-democrats-endorsing-warren/
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