Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

bluewater

bluewater's Journal
bluewater's Journal
October 21, 2019

Buttigieg does best among Iowans who watched the 4th Dem debate

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1186249534961270784

Hmmm, I didn't see the margin of error in the poll results, but margin of error for a sample size of 500 is ~ 4.3

Pete Buttigieg is definitely moving up! I would not be shocked if he wins Iowa, he's well financed, has moderate positions that appeal to Iowans, and is incredibly capable as shown in the last debate.

He might be the moderate alternative to Joe Biden. Time will tell.

October 20, 2019

Elizabeth Warren to outline how to pay for 'Medicare for All' plan

Following debate criticism, Elizabeth Warren will outline how to pay for 'Medicare for All' plan

U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren said she is planning to release information soon that outlines how she will pay for her "Medicare for All" plan.

The issue has followed the Massachusetts senator in at least two Democratic presidential debates as she has declined to say whether taxes will go up to pay for her proposal, which would abolish private health insurance in favor of Medicare for every American.

"Right now, the cost estimates on Medicare for All vary by trillions and trillions of dollars. And the different revenue streams for how to fund it — there are a lot of them," she said to a crowd of about 475 at Simpson College. "So this is something I’ve been working on for months and months and it’s got just a little more work until it's finished."


Warren is a cosponsor of U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders' Medicare for All plan, introduced in the Senate more than. The senator from Vermont has said taxes will go up to pay for his plan, but all out-of-pocket expenses like co-pays, premiums and deductibles would be eliminated.

While Warren has been known to release robust policies and plans that details ways to pay for them, she has yet to outline how she’d pay for her public health care program.

The senator was asked pointedly by debate moderators last week whether taxes will go up to pay for her plan. Warren said her plan would reduce health care costs for middle class Americans but did not address how her plan would affect taxes.
"So, the way I see this, it is about what kinds of costs middle-class families are going to face," she said during the debate in Westerville, Ohio, last week. "So, let me be clear on this. Costs will go up for the wealthy. They will go up for big corporations. And for middle-class families, they will go down."

In Indianola on Sunday, Warren said she would not sign a Medicare for All bill "that does not reduce the cost of health care for middle class families."


https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2019/10/20/iowa-caucuses-2020-elizabeth-warren-medicare-for-all-plan-costs-taxes/4046732002/

With about 4 months to go before voting starts, it's time for all the candidates to get more specific on their healthcare plans. Attention is focused on Warren though, and she needs to detail her proposal and put the funding issue to rest.

October 18, 2019

Why Warren is considered a front runner

Warren's performance in three important metrics makes her one of the front runners, possibly the front runner, in the Democratic Primary race:


1. Warren leads in the CBS News Early States Delegate Projections



"But what about South Carolina and other Southern states where Biden is so strong?"

Well, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama, Tennessee,and Arkansas ARE included in the CBS NEWS Early states projection.



2. Warren leads in one Polling Aggregate Tracking model and is second in the other.

The Economist's Aggregate model has Warren +3 over Biden
https://projects.economist.com/democratic-primaries-2020/

The RCP POLLS Aggregate model has Biden +5.8 over Warren
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html


Which aggregate tracker is correct? We'll have to wait for actual voting to know, but both are good tools to examine the primary polling results overall and not fixate on any single poll.


3. Warren Had Very strong 3rd Quarter Fund Raising.



OK, but how much cash on hand does Warren and the other candidates have going into the important 4th Quarter push to Super Tuesday?


Comparing Cash On Hand:

Biden cash on hand sum of $8.9 million is so low that it’s almost four times lower than the $33.7 million banked by Sanders, nearly three times lower than Warren’s $25.7 million war chest and more than twice as small as Pete Buttigieg’s $23.3 million.

https://www.politico.com/news/2019/10/16/biden-fundraising-2020-049062

October 18, 2019

Buttigieg emerges as new threat to Biden after debate

Joe Biden faces a new threat from South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who is fresh off an eye-opening debate performance and positioning himself to be a top contender for the support of centrist Democrats if the former vice president falters.

Buttigieg has emerged as a fundraising powerhouse and will enter the final stretch before the Iowa caucuses in February flush with cash. Buttigieg has more than $23 million in the bank, compared to only $9 million for Biden, a shockingly low number for a front-runner.

The Buttigieg campaign says it raised $1 million from tens of thousands of donors in the hours after Tuesday's debate concluded.
Recent polls of Iowa show Buttigieg on the rise. The mayor has picked up 4.5 points in the past month in the RealClearPolitics average, and a Firehouse-Optimus survey released this week found him in third place at 17 percent in the Hawkeye State, within striking distance of both Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), at 25 percent, and Biden, at 22 percent.

And Buttigieg has stepped out as a fighter for moderate Democrats who feel marginalized by the left, putting him in direct conflict with Biden in the battle for centrist primary voters.

Buttigieg has aggressively gone after Warren over her "Medicare for All" proposal, accusing her of being evasive about how she'd pay for it. And he's clashed with former Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas) over his mandatory gun buyback plan, which Buttigieg describes as an unrealistic and divisive proposal at a time when Congress might otherwise be able to achieve incremental gun safety reforms.

The sum total has some Democrats envisioning something that seemed unlikely only a few weeks ago - a race for the nomination that comes down to Warren or Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) on the left, with an opening for Buttigieg to supplant Biden as the party's centrist standard-bearer.


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/buttigieg-emerges-as-new-threat-to-biden-after-debate/ar-AAIVbAb
October 18, 2019

Klobuchar now has the endorsements of both former Republican Iowa legislators who left their party

https://twitter.com/IAStartingLine/status/1185207752680988672

Klobuchar is a solid moderate Democrat with broad appeal with disaffected Trump voters and Republicans that reject Trump.
October 18, 2019

Diplomat tells investigators he raised alarms in 2015 about Hunter Biden's Ukraine work

Diplomat tells investigators he raised alarms in 2015 about Hunter Biden’s Ukraine work but was rebuffed

A career State Department official overseeing Ukraine policy told congressional investigators this week that he had raised concerns in early 2015 about then-Vice President Joe Biden’s son serving on the board of a Ukrainian energy company but was turned away by a Biden staffer, according to three people familiar with the testimony.

George Kent, a deputy assistant secretary of state, testified Tuesday that he worried that Hunter Biden’s position at the firm Burisma Holdings would complicate efforts by U.S. diplomats to convey to Ukrainian officials the importance of avoiding conflicts of interest, said the people, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of confidentiality rules surrounding the deposition.

Kent said he had concerns that Ukrainian officials would view Hunter Biden as a conduit for currying influence with his father, said the people. But when Kent raised the issue with Biden’s office, he was told the then-vice president didn’t have the “bandwidth” to deal with the issue involving his son as his other son, Beau, was battling cancer, said the people familiar with his testimony.

The testimony by Kent offers a reminder that as Democrats probe President Trump’s alleged actions in pressuring Ukraine to dig up compromising information on Biden, the impeachment inquiry also threatens to keep alive questions about the former vice president’s handling of his son’s foreign work at a precarious moment for his 2020 presidential campaign.

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/newspolitics/diplomat-tells-investigators-he-raised-alarms-in-2015-about-hunter-bidens-ukraine-work-but-was-rebuffed/ar-AAIYSLA

A career state Department Official testified this to Congressional investigators this past Tuesday, as reported here by MSN.

This is not a right wing talking point, it's sworn testimony by a career State Department official to Congress.
October 17, 2019

Warren says hosting G-7 at Trump resort 'is corruption, plain and simple'

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) blasted the White House’s announcement on Thursday that the annual Group of 7 (G-7) economic summit would be held at one of President Trump's golf properties in Florida.

“This is corruption, plain and simple,” Warren, who is running for president, tweeted.

https://twitter.com/ewarren/status/1184884102010429441
Acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney on Thursday afternoon said the summit, set for next June, would be held at the Trump National Doral Golf Club near Miami.

"We thought of the 12 places that we looked at ... this was by far and away the best choice," Mulvaney said.


Mulvaney also dismissed the frequent criticism from ethics watchdog groups of Trump’s use of his own properties as president.

“There’s no issue here on him profiting from this in any way, shape or form," Mulvaney said. "If you think it's going to help his brand, that's great, but I would suggest that he doesn't need much help promoting his brand."

Warren, who has joined others in vocally criticizing Trump's use of his own properties as president, released a policy proposal last month to address conflicts of interest in government, calling the Trump presidency the “most corrupt administration of our lifetimes.”


https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/466311-warren-says-hosting-g-7-at-trump-resort-is-corruption-plain-and-simple

Profile Information

Member since: Fri Jun 7, 2019, 03:43 PM
Number of posts: 5,376
Latest Discussions»bluewater's Journal