My question to those who want to ban guns: How do you plan to "bell the cat?"

[OneTenthofOnePercent]

6. I think such laws would concentrate guns in the hands of criminals who would use them.

Most gun owners (or owners of any forbidden product) will object to prohibition. A good deal, however, will abide by the laws because they don't wish to be caught in felonious possesion of contraband. Some will turn it them in to the government. The rest of the people's actions will be driven by the demographics that have the guns.

Other gun owners, not necessarily criminals, who will be bitter at the governemnet will give or illegally sell the guns to others willing to risk keeping them. Eventually, over time, the non-criminals holding onto guns will turn some of them in during amnesties or filter them to crimnials via the black market.

Others who are lesser criminals but don't want to risk the charges if caught won't turn them in to the police (c'mon, criminals it's obvious wont consort with and help police) but will instead give them to other more hardened criminals. They'll trade them for drugs or cash.

The hardened criminals is where most of the guns will end up. No one in this group will turn them in. They'll likely stockpile them or use them. The guns will be a source of power and black market income. This is where most of the damage from guns come to society today.

As you can see, at each demographic or exchange, some guns may get turned in and others get filtered towards the criminal element. Eventually, the concentration of guns in the hardcore criminal sect will grow... other demographics are merely transit routes as few non-criminals will hold onto them indefinitely. The number of guns the American criminal element has today (and uses to implement alot of our gun violence today) may grow 100-fold in the future. Imagine the gang violence then.

Keep in mind, that if only 10% of the outlawed guns reach the criminal black market... that's an additional 30,000,000 guns they have in their arsenal. And that's only 10%. My guess is that well over 40% of gun owners would be delinquent in fully complying with any sort of actual gun ban.