General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: We are going to get “Trashed in 2012 Elections” [View all]ProudToBeBlueInRhody
(16,399 posts)Only the total ostritches couldn't have seen the 2010 red tidal wave coming.
2012 is a totally different animal. Remember the GOP HoR has a 9% approval rating. I don't see the House flipping, but I think the Democrats can cut the margin enough to almost negate it. The Senate is a different story.....matchup wise the cards just don't fall in our favor this cycle. I suspect we'll lose it barring a really postive upswing in the economy.
As far as Obama, the numbers you posted look fine for him. I think the Republicans are in for a rude awaking, much like we were in 2004. No one thought Bush could possibly get re-elected with so many people who seemingly hated the guy, and yet he did. Mainly because John Kerry, as much as I like him, was not an attractive enough candidate to get people to change horses. Mitt Romney, as a candidate, is just like John Kerry. No one, even in his own party, is really excited about him. Non-partisans sense that. Wanting to beat the incumbent is not enough reason to vote for a guy. Obama has a core support of people, like those who supported Bush, who'll vote for the guy no matter what, and he likely has more of them. They don't care about politics, they like him, they'll vote for him. No GOP'er in the race has that.......Palin is the only one the party has like that, and her negatives outnumber them.