General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Just a couple reasons Bernie can win the nomination IF he even runs [View all]ehrnst
(32,640 posts)Press releases don't include the methodology or sampling data.
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us01172018_demos_udww76.pdf/
This RDD telephone survey was conducted from January 12 16, 2018 throughout the nation.
Responses are reported for 1,212 self-identified registered voters with a margin of
sampling error of +/- 3.4 percentage points, including the design effect. Margins of
sampling error for subgroups are available upon request.
32% of respondents were Democrat
39% were Independents.
70% of 32% of a 1,212 sample isn't "70% of Democrats."
And trend statistics in this same poll show that Senator Sanders has decreased in favorability:
TREND: Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about him?
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us01172018_trends_udww76.pdf/ (page 3)
First number: Fav, Second number: Unfav, Third number: HvntHrd Fourth number: Refused
Jan 17, 2018 48 38 13 1
Mar 23, 2016 50 37 12 1
Feb 18, 2016 51 36 12 1 High Fav
Feb 05, 2016 44 35 19 2
Dec 22, 2015 40 31 28 1
Dec 02, 2015 44 31 24 1
Nov 04, 2015 39 36 24 1
Sep 24, 2015 35 28 36 1
Aug 27, 2015 32 28 39 1
Jul 30, 2015 32 25 42 1
May 28, 2015 19 18 62 2 Low Fav