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Igel

(35,197 posts)
18. If race determined voting, okay.
Sat Jun 2, 2018, 08:48 AM
Jun 2018

But those who are likely to live longest are those who are reasonable well off and who are educated. If you're white and in that category, you are more likely to vote (D) than (R).

If you're poor and white and likely to die at an early age, you're more likely (in recent years) to vote (R). In other words, poor =/= left. There's a correlation, but it's a correlation that varies by cohort.

Since whites are the largest cohort, this isn't a trivial point to include.

Even within AfAm, the same wealth/education = longevity standard still holds, and in that case prosperous =/= conservative.

What doesn't get included is how poverty's distributed within racial group and the effect that would be predicted. It's not the goal of the study, and outside of sciences (and even within sciences sometimes only uphold by absence) it's fairly rare to include any disconfirming evidence or arguments and deal with them. Most such studies seek to prove the authors' point, which is true, not to show that a claim has the greatest claim to likely truth.

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