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Blue_true

(31,261 posts)

5. The early vote seem to imply problems for Balderdon.

Tue Aug 7, 2018, 08:37 PM

Aug 2018

If Ohio is like Florida. In Florida, Black voters seem to be mostly Election Day voters. If that hold true, the big vote margins for O'Connor in Franklin and Delaware counties were derived from voters that should be more favorable to Balderson.

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Follow Ohio 12th In Real Time Including Projection [View all] louis c Aug 2018 OP

Wonder if Manchik got any conservative PAC money Roland99 Aug 2018 #1

I still have PTSD from that goddamn needle on election night 2016... LincolnRossiter Aug 2018 #2

They are waiting for same day votes louis c Aug 2018 #3

Gotcha. Not looking forward to it. lol... LincolnRossiter Aug 2018 #4

The early vote seem to imply problems for Balderdon. Blue_true Aug 2018 #5

No, that's not true at all for OH. LisaL Aug 2018 #6

But the early vote for O'Conner is exceeding expectations louis c Aug 2018 #7

Ok. Thanks. nt Blue_true Aug 2018 #8

Welcome to DU grantcart Aug 2018 #16

Most of the Big Republican Counties Are Already 50-70% Counted Stallion Aug 2018 #9

I noticed that too. Blue_true Aug 2018 #14

Still looking like a nail biter JCMach1 Aug 2018 #10

The blue wave is coming. joshcryer Aug 2018 #11

2nd Big Wave of Franklin County Votes Take it From 6 to 11% Stallion Aug 2018 #12

Franklin is where he has to make it big to have any chance. LisaL Aug 2018 #15

If he keep it close in Delaware county at the end, he should win. Blue_true Aug 2018 #21

Balderson seem to be running out of his most favorable vote. Blue_true Aug 2018 #13

This election will be decided in Delaware County louis c Aug 2018 #17

Still looking at 3% margin? grantcart Aug 2018 #18

Still looking to win louis c Aug 2018 #22

Almost all the Republican votes are in grantcart Aug 2018 #24

I'm afraid of Delaware County louis c Aug 2018 #25

You were right. that dump from Delaware put them ahead grantcart Aug 2018 #44

Damn Balderson up by 1,000 grantcart Aug 2018 #19

Balderson takes the lead in Deleware County... Adrahil Aug 2018 #20

O'Connor appears to be headed to a 22,000 vote margin out of Franklin county. Blue_true Aug 2018 #28

Looking better Connors back on top grantcart Aug 2018 #23

Lots of votes out in Delaware County.... Adrahil Aug 2018 #26

Balderson will need to win that by 70% to 30% to stand a chance. Blue_true Aug 2018 #30

But that isn't helping Balderson grantcart Aug 2018 #34

I hope you are right! I want this one SO badly! NT Adrahil Aug 2018 #40

I imagine there are some Republican Congressmen that are hoping Balderson loses grantcart Aug 2018 #41

now plus 1400 grantcart Aug 2018 #29

Delaware county is almost all white, educated and $100,000 beachbum bob Aug 2018 #27

basically tied in Delaware grantcart Aug 2018 #32

He's been doing better in Delaware County in the most recent 30 precincts louis c Aug 2018 #33

The problem is that Delaware is much like Licking... only larger FBaggins Aug 2018 #37

Connors Still at 48.7 in Deleware County Stallion Aug 2018 #35

Thanks for posting real time results! nt SWBTATTReg Aug 2018 #31

ouch down to 155 vote difference grantcart Aug 2018 #39

O'Connor by 1338 lapfog_1 Aug 2018 #36

crap - now O'connor leads by 155 votes - n/t lapfog_1 Aug 2018 #38

Down 1000 oswaldactedalone Aug 2018 #42

Shit Balderson now up by over 1000 votes with Delaware at 66% mr_lebowski Aug 2018 #43

This one will be repeated in November. roamer65 Aug 2018 #45

There Should Have Been Blue Wave Turnout Tonight LandOfHopeAndDreams Aug 2018 #58

That's not the way it works Awsi Dooger Aug 2018 #62

Very possible that we lose this by the margin of the damn Green votes. grantcart Aug 2018 #46

will people ever learn? Takket Aug 2018 #48

Crap, the Repuke just flipped ahead. UTUSN Aug 2018 #50

back on top lol grantcart Aug 2018 #59

my 3 favorite counties... Takket Aug 2018 #47

Forget it, Jake, it's Ohio Stargleamer Aug 2018 #49

Balderson looking good at the moment. oswaldactedalone Aug 2018 #51

recount .5%? grantcart Aug 2018 #56

Up 201 votes krawhitham Aug 2018 #52

Back on top grantcart Aug 2018 #53

delaware is holding count back to "get the count right" Takket Aug 2018 #54

Something suspicious about the votes coming in from Delaware honest.abe Aug 2018 #60

See, this is some bullshit ... it seems like red counties are always doing some shit like this uponit7771 Aug 2018 #73

99% of Frankin County-Connors take Small Lead Stallion Aug 2018 #55

we're back in the lead! but balderson will pick up another 1400 or so with the rest of delaware co. unblock Aug 2018 #57

I am guessing Balderson will have around a 750 vote lead. Blue_true Aug 2018 #64

don't know. grew up in columbus but left before i could vote. unblock Aug 2018 #66

down by 700 grantcart Aug 2018 #65

Does anyone know how provisionals break out your party and where the lion share are? nt Blue_true Aug 2018 #72

Will someone please stop me from hitting refresh all the time? nt Snellius Aug 2018 #61

step away, release the mouse, no no no go back hit it again, faster. grantcart Aug 2018 #68

are absentees already included in this count? Takket Aug 2018 #63

Kornacki just said that we should expect about 3,000 provisionals which lean Democratic. grantcart Aug 2018 #67

Not enough FBaggins Aug 2018 #70

I wouldn't be shocked if the KGOP is paying the green party uponit7771 Aug 2018 #71

It does look like they'll get 1,200 votes FBaggins Aug 2018 #74

Isan't this like the third time they have been separated by 741 votes? grantcart Aug 2018 #69

more blue voters will be out in november. O'conner will flip this seat then Takket Aug 2018 #75

Yep, considering how red the district is, it's a great result. LisaL Aug 2018 #76

O'connor can still run towards november Legends303 Aug 2018 #77

Hes already on the ballot grantcart Aug 2018 #78

Also, in November the Reps won't be able to pour in the same amount of support and money Jersey Devil Aug 2018 #83

The same fact applies for the Democrats. former9thward Aug 2018 #91

GOP groups outspent their Democratic counterparts in the race by a ratio of nearly 5 to 1 Jersey Devil Aug 2018 #92

Not what the Washington Post says. former9thward Aug 2018 #93

Looks like O'Connor .... LenaBaby61 Aug 2018 #79

Please think about this one fact............If Dump won by 36 percent in 2016, Stuart G Aug 2018 #80

So if there are 3000 provisional, and the margin is about 2000, still doable right? Iwasthere Aug 2018 #81

Yes, if the provisionals are overwhelming for O'Connor..it is doable..not likely but possible Stuart G Aug 2018 #82

Would need to pretty much run the table. Blue_true Aug 2018 #86

Not historically, Dems are +17 in provisional so he would put up 510 votes krawhitham Aug 2018 #87

David Jolly on MSNBC is saying the Repuke party will have to throw some overboard for November. roamer65 Aug 2018 #84

This is a very solid republican district. At least it's used to be. LisaL Aug 2018 #85

we lost in 2016 by 36.71% krawhitham Aug 2018 #88

Has anyone said where the 4% left in Delaware county is? Blue_true Aug 2018 #89

Its in, it didn't help krawhitham Aug 2018 #90