There is a lot of talk that Dems could take back the House, but I don't hear

[Awsi Dooger]

3. Not great odds

This site has it:

71% stay Republican
16% no advantage (50-50)
13% Democratic takeover

https://predictwise.com/politics/14978-2

Basically we would need to win virtually all of the razor tight races. There is precedent along those lines but the reason the examples become so well known is the long shot aspect. That's why it's proper not to be too carried away beforehand.

Trump needs to do something so outrageous his approval ratings drop into the 30s and our House generic edge moves upward at least a couple of points, from 7 to 9.

At that point the senate remains underdog but is more manageable.