Gallup Trump Weekly Job Approval 41% Disapproval 54% (- 3)

[Awsi Dooger]

21. Stock market is up another 1% today

OP is correct, the economy is holding up Trump's approval rating. If we desperately attempt to twist the polls and pretend they are wrong, we are wasting time and fooling ourselves.

This is not November 2017, when Trump was at lowest. He reached 35% in Gallup four times, the last being mid December 2017, exactly during the time frame of that Alabama senate race. If that Alabama senate race had been run in this environment nearly 9 months later, then Roy Moore wins and he probably wins by at least 3-5 points. A few people per hundred change their minds and shift from one side to another. That's all it takes. It is what James Comey did to Hillary.

I can live with 41%. I think we are okay toward the House at 41%. I'm not kidding myself that it can go markedly lower, not without that N-word tape showing up. I knew all along that it didn't matter how outrageous Trump continued to be, the nation would slowly become more accepting of it and the approval rating would logically change even if Trump didn't change. I posted that late last year, to quite a bit of objection here and elsewhere. But I've seen it with successful blowhard football coaches and similar. If people are happy with the bottom line of their lives they slowly lose distaste for their boss or landlord or whomever. Urban Meyer as a multi national champ can skate amidst lookaway. A middling coach with the same behavior would be thrown out of the 'shoe without second thought.

I really wish we could have pushed that button in November 2017 and frozen Trump's approval at 37.3% I think I remember that figure from the time. The 44 range is where I start to get nervous. We've had too many non-adjusted 44s in the mix recently.