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Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

18. Interesting...when sample size goes up, Trump approval goes down

Reply to Awsi Dooger (Reply #16)

Tue Aug 28, 2018, 07:00 PM

Aug 2018

I just noticed the Ipsos polling from August 22nd forth includes 3200+ each time, according to that link I posted in post #16:

http://polling.reuters.com/#!response/CP3_2/type/smallest/dates/20170828-20180828/collapsed/true/chart/table

You have to scroll to bottom for most recent numbers.

Prior to that, the sampling was generally 2200+ and sometimes 1800 or thereabouts earlier.

Sampling and margin for error estimates are at far left on the table.

I'm not familiar with this polling chart. Maybe they blend or normalize things after a while and the numbers shift. But at first glance it seems they significantly upped the sample size on August 22nd and it may have impacted the findings on Trump's approval rating, although it normally shouldn't happen that way.

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Highlight:

**Breaking: Trump craters to 40% in new Ipsos Poll as Democrats surge to 46-34 Congresional lead** [View all] NewsCenter28 Aug 2018 OP

Excellent! . I think that one poll was taken too early. octoberlib Aug 2018 #1

K AND R DemocratSinceBirth Aug 2018 #2

K&R ismnotwasm Aug 2018 #3

K&R Scurrilous Aug 2018 #4

Polls with 20% undecided are worthless. Nt BootinUp Aug 2018 #5

Shows How Many Idiots There Are In This Country LandOfHopeAndDreams Aug 2018 #9

Why? Not at all unusual..., right up to an election. Scientific polls are always the rage. Fred Sanders Aug 2018 #19

Actually the Trump approval is 38% with 56% disapprove Awsi Dooger Aug 2018 #6

I'm confused as to how 538 is evaluating that poll... regnaD kciN Aug 2018 #7

Where did you get that daily breakdown? NewsCenter28 Aug 2018 #11

Go to this link and hold the cursor over the specific recent day Awsi Dooger Aug 2018 #14

Actually I'm wrong...there is a table with approval text for each day Awsi Dooger Aug 2018 #16

Interesting...when sample size goes up, Trump approval goes down Awsi Dooger Aug 2018 #18

Thanks Awsi!! NewsCenter28 Aug 2018 #24

You are welcome Awsi Dooger Aug 2018 #28

Not News Unless It Goes Below 35% LandOfHopeAndDreams Aug 2018 #8

I noticed the same thing Awsi Dooger Aug 2018 #10

Great news! mcar Aug 2018 #12

There are a lot of polls taken after that...all of them over 40%. Why pick out this one? Honeycombe8 Aug 2018 #13

No his base is somewhere in the 30s maybe lower. Nixon's was in the low 20s the night he resigned rockfordfile Aug 2018 #25

His average is 41.4%. on 538. John Fante Aug 2018 #30

In other words, tRump's rhetoric does hurt him and he cannot shoot somone & not lose voters ffr Aug 2018 #15

BLUE WAVE INCOMING!! workinclasszero Aug 2018 #17

40%???? ConstanceCee Aug 2018 #20

Yeah, it's a tad down, but not exactly cratering. bearsfootball516 Aug 2018 #21

The steady downward trend from August 22 to 28 is interesting Awsi Dooger Aug 2018 #22

40% is appalling Martin Eden Aug 2018 #23

Its embarrassing LiberalLovinLug Aug 2018 #26

Isn't 'craters' a bit of an overstatement? elleng Aug 2018 #27

It's not cratering Dopers_Greed Aug 2018 #29