General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Can we please stop with the "polls were wrong in 2016" narritive [View all]erpowers
(9,445 posts)I am not buying the idea that the polls were wrong because Trump supporters were ashamed to admit they were voting for Trump. There were reports from multiple swing states of tens of thousands of people not voting for either presidential candidate. I am also not really buying that people, especially black people, went into voting booths and refused to vote for either candidate in the 2016 election. My information may be wrong, but I think it was reported that around 70,000 people in Michigan, maybe Detroit alone, did not vote for either candidate. I do not believe 70,000 people in Detroit, knowing the stakes of the 2016 election, did not vote for Hillary Clinton. I am not trying to claim that votes were changed, but I think something happened where 70,000 votes did not get counted. If those votes had been counted it is likely that Hillary Clinton would have won the election. It was also reported that tens of thousands of people in Florida did not vote for either presidential candidate. Maybe that actually happened, but do you really think tens of thousands of people could not see enough of a difference between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in order for them to vote for one of the candidates?
Then there are the reports that tens of thousands of people were prevented from voting due to voting law that made it hard for people to register and stay registered to vote. There been multiple reports that the number of people who were likely prevented from voting outnumbered Trump's margin of victory in each of the swing states that he won.
I do not think the polls were wrong. I think the polls could not have taken into account how voting laws prevented people from voting. I am willing to accept that Hillary Clinton not being candidate that could excite people may have hurt her chances of winning, but I am still willing to believe voting laws had more to do with Hillary Clinton's lose than polls being wrong.