Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

JHan

(10,173 posts)
25. You'll be interested in 538's analysis too..
Wed Sep 5, 2018, 11:13 AM
Sep 2018
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-ayanna-pressleys-upset-win-in-massachusetts-isnt-really-like-alexandria-ocasio-cortezs/

ehrnst posted it on DU too : https://www.democraticunderground.com/100211095004

The part that stands out:

"Maybe voters agreed with Pressley’s argument that Congress needs politicians with different “lived experiences” — in her case, surviving sexual assault or being raised by a single mother. Maybe identity politics did play a role, just in an unexpected way. Maybe it was “woke” white voters who preferred to see an African-American represent a majority-minority district and voted accordingly. Maybe voters agreed with the assertion that top House Democrats should yield to the next generation of leaders and, unable to vote Nancy Pelosi out of office directly, opted for Pressley (age 44) over Capuano (66). Maybe Pressley’s gender was actually the No. 1 factor; there is clear evidence that women have outperformed men in Democratic primaries this year.

Personally, I think the simplest explanation is the best one: Voters just wanted new blood.
"

There wasn't a wide margin of victory last I checked. Just a competitive race, with an excellent ground game from Pressley which gave her an advantage. And she's got experience on her side. This is an excellent example of building experience over time and how it made her competitive against a strong incumbent who she had little disagreement with policy-wise.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Amen! JustAnotherGen Sep 2018 #1
She's just great. I'm really happy tonight. JHan Sep 2018 #3
Great win for her, on her own merits. Very experienced in local, state, and national politics.... George II Sep 2018 #2
She will, she has political skills. JHan Sep 2018 #4
I like her. sheshe2 Sep 2018 #5
I don't know either candidate in this district The Polack MSgt Sep 2018 #6
There were few differences between her and Capuano ideologically.. JHan Sep 2018 #9
I think you have a valid concern. KY_EnviroGuy Sep 2018 #10
If the voters were ready for the change, I can't say boo about it The Polack MSgt Sep 2018 #11
TPM, I was being entirely hypothetical for the future. KY_EnviroGuy Sep 2018 #14
You'll be interested in 538's analysis too.. JHan Sep 2018 #25
Thank you, JHan. KY_EnviroGuy Sep 2018 #28
"to create an overall negative view of government so it's easier for them to destroy our government" JHan Sep 2018 #29
Well known and she has experience too, not at all an outsider. JHan Sep 2018 #26
There's a tendency to question a woman for lack of experience more than men lostnfound Sep 2018 #13
That is a serious ingrained cultural problem. KY_EnviroGuy Sep 2018 #15
Some already have... lostnfound Sep 2018 #37
Thank you. KY_EnviroGuy Sep 2018 #39
Her and her opponent were almost identical. NCTraveler Sep 2018 #30
Thanks to everyone for cluing me in with the information regarding this primary. The Polack MSgt Sep 2018 #33
Wow, she's impressive! betsuni Sep 2018 #7
K&R radical noodle Sep 2018 #8
Great speech- Gothmog Sep 2018 #12
So Absolutely True! Ayanna shoves that "identity politics".. Cha Sep 2018 #16
:) JHan Sep 2018 #17
.. Cha Sep 2018 #19
K&R. Great speech! lunamagica Sep 2018 #18
Outstanding! brer cat Sep 2018 #20
Wow! NurseJackie Sep 2018 #21
She has no problem throwing shade in "his" direction. NCTraveler Sep 2018 #32
I saw that. It's nice to see the truth... blunt and direct. NurseJackie Sep 2018 #34
K&R Cary Sep 2018 #22
Congratulations, Ayanna! (nt) ehrnst Sep 2018 #23
Congrats, Ayanna. I wish she'd be careful using the word "identity Hortensis Sep 2018 #24
Otoh, maybe she can give it back a good meaning? Hortensis Sep 2018 #27
I thought she framed it eloquently. JHan Sep 2018 #35
There's another element of "Identity politics" which doesn't get discussed.. JHan Sep 2018 #36
I posted this quote from her yesterday. NCTraveler Sep 2018 #31
K&R Andy823-2.0 Sep 2018 #38
K&R Scurrilous Sep 2018 #40
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»"You can not have a gover...»Reply #25