General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: FiveThirtyEight's analysis of Ayanna Pressley's win. [View all]JHan
(10,173 posts)The problem was never really "ideas" or "messaging" or " policies" in these blue districts.
Did the effect of Trump raise an awareness that was not there before? Yes. But there are a whole bunch of factors responsible for that.
What I do know is that HRC's loss has been a motivating factor for many and her candidacy inspired women to run.
The idea that a Hillary Clinton Presidency would have deflated support for Democrats is trying to use a narrative to prove a hypothetical. We really don't know what a Clinton presidency would have looked like except it wouldn't be the current shit show and that she'd still be attacked by allies in her first term, just as Obama was in his first term. Maybe the constant attacks by Republicans would have inspired the same turn out by women? We just don't know.
There is also no silver lining here with this Trump administration. Even if Dems take back the house and win the Presidency in 2020, undoing Trump's damage will take a while and will require voters give Democrats a consistent sustained majority in Congress for at least a decade. We've already seen the effects of a conservative court even when Obama was in office. For SCOTUS alone, there is no silver lining. Just 10 steps backward and us having to retrace those steps to get us back to a place we were..
Women are dominating primaries, and alongside with this is a very unified party. A divisive war is being waged on social media but this is not reflective of what's happening on the ground from my observations. What we're seeing in primaries are shared perspectives on policies with only slight differences. Do people want some "new faces"? Sure. But Ayanna was nurtured by the Democratic party proving there isn't some grand resistance to younger candidates. Sometimes a person is just a product of their time. There's nothing unique about that.