General Discussion

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

20. I'm not surprised

Fri Oct 5, 2018, 09:25 PM

Oct 2018

Something is screwed up in Alaska. The polling is obviously lazy and inept because the results never match the polling. I've seen that for more than 25 years and I've posted about it here since 2002. Democrats always far better in polling than the actual result.

Look at this sorry Pew sample. Pew is normally very reliable. The table looks fancy, until you check below and the sample includes 310 people.

http://www.pewforum.org/religious-landscape-study/state/alaska/political-ideology/

I laughed when I saw that because it screams as representative of Alaska polling. Nobody wants to do enough actual work and come up with a polling model that adequately represents the state. When Pew did that in state after state in 2014 the sampling was never particularly high anywhere. But the other states didn't share the same problem as Alaska...consistently inaccurate polling.

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Murkowski has more balls than Manchin [View all] musicblind Oct 2018 OP

Actions speak loudly. guillaumeb Oct 2018 #1

She voted against Kavadrunk. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2018 #3

And Manchin claims that he will vote for Kavanaugh. guillaumeb Oct 2018 #4

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There are two silver linings about Manchin's vote. musicblind Oct 2018 #10

Nice arguments. guillaumeb Oct 2018 #12

We had one, in Murkowski, but we needed two. musicblind Oct 2018 #16

I really hope she goes Independent. GoCubsGo Oct 2018 #2

She could do it, too. musicblind Oct 2018 #11

The downside is, she would likely still "caucus" with the Republicans. n/t musicblind Oct 2018 #17

I would like to see her do it for the optics alone. GoCubsGo Oct 2018 #18

I wrote the exact same thing in a recent post Awsi Dooger Oct 2018 #5

Manchin was always a Dino. Meadowoak Oct 2018 #7

You have to remember its Alaska Separation Oct 2018 #9

I'm surprised Alaska goes red so often in Presidential elections. musicblind Oct 2018 #13

I'm not surprised Awsi Dooger Oct 2018 #20

Heidi Hiedcamp had the most polical bravery. imo nt Tavarious Jackson Oct 2018 #14

So does Heidi RhodeIslandOne Oct 2018 #15

I still have this insane hope Manchin just said that to make Daines go to the wedding. moriah Oct 2018 #19