long rates are rising and stocks are tanking. timing couldn't be worse for donnie.

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8. yeah, i don't think this will change the politics just yet.

the markets could well quiet down and it will stay out of the political news. the idea of it having a notable negative impact on republicans in november depends on the bad news continuing during the next four weeks.


minor bad for republicans is if the market drifts away from record highs that donnie can no longer tout that the market is hitting record highs. well, he'll say it anyway, but it will have somewhat less of an impact if it isn't true.

medium bad for republicans is if the market become more volatile without going down much. that keeps it in the headlines, but not in a way republicans can talk about.

major bad for republicans is if the market really goes down and headlines are full of "bear market" talk. that could be a disaster for republicans in november.