Bold prediction: Trump out of office and his family under indictment a month from today

[djg21]

72. You make two assumptions that may prove untrue.

First, I’m not sure that Pelosi will be the Speaker. If there’s one thing I’ve learned about politicians, all of them crave power and most will climb over their own mothers to advance their own political ambitions, irrespective of party. My bet is that there will be other contenders lining up to be Speaker. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/10/18/one-third-non-incumbent-house-democratic-candidates-dont-support-nancy-pelosi/?utm_term=.28a5e207c6e5

As a practical matter, it won’t matter who the speaker is so long as the Dems have the majority. The investigations will commence either way.

Second, you assume that once the House impeaches, McConnell and the Republicans in the Senate will try Trump. I don’t see this as happening, and while the Constitution is unclear as to the Senate’s obligation to conduct trials when the House impeaches, historical precedent indicates that it simply can decline to take up the matter. It literally would take a smoking gun and really, really awful optics before McConnell commits to a trial or compels Trump to resign (like Watergate, where SCOTUS ordered the tapes disclosed and the Senate then buckled and got Nixon to resign so a trial would be unnecessary).

Maybe we’ll get lucky and McConnell will be named as a conspirator too.