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Adrahil

(13,340 posts)

9. He doesn't run a polling firm.

Reply to dubyadiprecession (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 5, 2018, 03:58 PM

Nov 2018

Last edited Mon Nov 5, 2018, 06:51 PM - Edit history (1)

He has a model that takes in OTHER peoples' polling data and produces an aggregate result.

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Highlight:

Nate Silver has 7 in 8 chance Dems take the house [View all] OnlinePoker Nov 2018 OP

Actually, I think he only had Clinton at 60% cos dem Nov 2018 #1

71.4 to 28.6 OnlinePoker Nov 2018 #3

That is not a landslide. Blue_true Nov 2018 #7

Those are odds on a single race. OilemFirchen Nov 2018 #14

And to Silver's credit... that was 25 points less than any other poll analysts had it jcgoldie Nov 2018 #26

Those are probabilities Loki Liesmith Nov 2018 #30

If Nate gets this election wrong... dubyadiprecession Nov 2018 #2

He was not wrong in 2016! Nt USALiberal Nov 2018 #6

He doesn't run a polling firm. Adrahil Nov 2018 #9

If Nate got 2016 "right" he should have been booted out of his profession Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #13

James Comey is the one who flubbed 2016. (eom) StevieM Nov 2018 #22

I agree Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #25

And don't forget, dumbass won by essentially a fluke. cos dem Nov 2018 #34

Nate doesn't have a polling firm Loki Liesmith Nov 2018 #31

Well To Be Fair, She Did Have The Votes Me. Nov 2018 #4

I think the busters and other idiots tripped her up. Blue_true Nov 2018 #8

Also Me. Nov 2018 #11

"Corporate Whore" Small-Axe Nov 2018 #17

THIS Me. Nov 2018 #18

The fake email scandal could never have taken root to nearly that degree if it was used against StevieM Nov 2018 #21

So True Me. Nov 2018 #24

Comey was more important than any of those factors. He dominated that election from start to finish. StevieM Nov 2018 #20

I've been waiting for his forecast to improve with the Senate statistics. Baitball Blogger Nov 2018 #5

Not going to happen Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #28

Double post Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #29

No prob. Thanks for the info. Baitball Blogger Nov 2018 #33

I remember how many people road Nate Silver exboyfil Nov 2018 #10

I could give a fuck maxsolomon Nov 2018 #12

The fact you use the terrm "landslide" in reference to Silver's 2016 polling... Hassin Bin Sober Nov 2018 #15

It will be interesting to see how close 538 comes to the House generic margin Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #16

As far over that half way point as we can push it! crosinski Nov 2018 #19

CNN says a GOP source says Trump's racist immigration rhetoric may have cost them election JonLP24 Nov 2018 #23

Even Republicans thought they would lose in 2016 marylandblue Nov 2018 #27

Same with me Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #32