General Discussion

NewJeffCT

(56,848 posts)

45. It should definitely help

Wed Nov 21, 2018, 10:11 AM

Nov 2018

Michigan went for Trump by a tiny margin in 2016 and Obama only won it by 4-5% in 2012, so it's fairly close to 50-50. However, for the US House, it is 9 Republicans and 4 Democrats. Without gerrymandering, it should be 7-6 or 6-7, so a 2-3 seat difference depending on the elections. It will probably make a big difference for the state legislature as well.

Now, imagine a state like Texas with nearly three times that number of US House seats (36, but probably increasing after the 2020 re-apportionment) that has been trending from Red to Pink? It's currently 25-11 Republican, but based on 2016/2018 voting patterns, it should be closer to 20-16 Republican or even 19-17. So, a 5-6 seat pickup for Democrats.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

86 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

The largest defeat in the history of mid-terms [View all] malaise Nov 2018 OP

I think I will raise two! SallyHemmings Nov 2018 #1

And "TOKE" GWC58 Nov 2018 #42

Where do you live? Amsterdammer Nov 2018 #46

I live in the merry land of GWC58 Nov 2018 #74

The wife & I... Amsterdammer Nov 2018 #86

Somebody needs to show this to James Carville!!! padah513 Nov 2018 #2

A lot DownriverDem Nov 2018 #21

Let youtube be your friend... OnDoutside Nov 2018 #44

Yea when I saw that it really got me down. Time for Carville to go away. Pepsidog Nov 2018 #52

It was nice, but not a wave 4du Nov 2018 #66

Please don't rain on our parade. You need to lighten up and appreciate what has happened. japple Nov 2018 #67

Thank you. but this is not entertainment or sport 4du Nov 2018 #69

It most definitely is a wave lunatica Nov 2018 #82

We don't want a wave, we want a tide 4du Nov 2018 #84

I will, for all of our fellow DUers and other Americans in this country. Have a good and ... SWBTATTReg Nov 2018 #3

Is this true? I thought there were larger swings. Drahthaardogs Nov 2018 #4

I think his has been the biggest pickup of seats since '72. A Presidential election. Kaleva Nov 2018 #6

I think Obama lost 60 in 2010. Drahthaardogs Nov 2018 #7

63 house, 6 senate, 6 governors, 11 state legislatures IronLionZion Nov 2018 #11

Was that before or after republicans re-drew the electoral maps? Squinch Nov 2018 #18

Before. The 2010 election was also in a decennial census year. Celerity Nov 2018 #36

Here in Wisconsin, the entire state government was controlled by Democrats elocs Nov 2018 #43

I think the issue is ... democratic party ... net gains .... not just pick ups as far as trades ... uponit7771 Nov 2018 #39

Okay. That makes more sense to me. Drahthaardogs Nov 2018 #64

Yeah, 2010 was the year of the tea party... Johnyawl Nov 2018 #53

The Tea Party got it right on getting into power The Mouth Nov 2018 #75

Good post. klook Nov 2018 #78

Thanks The Mouth Nov 2018 #85

A needless loss in 2010 by Dems and Obama Sparko55 Nov 2018 #58

To be accurate: SCantiGOP Nov 2018 #25

Largest by popular vote malaise Nov 2018 #12

As a person who H2O Man Nov 2018 #32

Correct malaise Nov 2018 #34

And to you H2O Man Nov 2018 #35

I am hopeful malaise Nov 2018 #37

Interesting in what way? coeur_de_lion Nov 2018 #50

You are mistaken onenote Nov 2018 #60

Note that you H2O Man Nov 2018 #61

I haven't seen any data on party shifts in municipal level elections in 2018 onenote Nov 2018 #63

Also untrue FBaggins Nov 2018 #57

in terms of the number of seats won/lost it was NOT the largest defeat NewJeffCT Nov 2018 #33

This may lead to a... N_E_1 for Tennis Nov 2018 #5

+1000. We'll have the advantage in the senate and Hortensis Nov 2018 #9

The ultimate long-term prize: Redrawing Congressional districts Eyeball_Kid Nov 2018 #28

Yes NewJeffCT Nov 2018 #38

See reply #40... nt N_E_1 for Tennis Nov 2018 #41

THIS! malaise Nov 2018 #48

Michigan is starting to change that... N_E_1 for Tennis Nov 2018 #40

It should definitely help NewJeffCT Nov 2018 #45

k&r bigtree Nov 2018 #8

But Avenatti is very bad!! Kingofalldems Nov 2018 #10

ROFL malaise Nov 2018 #13

And so is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Iggo Nov 2018 #14

She needs to be quiet! Nm sharedvalues Nov 2018 #19

And so is Nancy Pelosi. Iggo Nov 2018 #15

Because I read DU. Iggo Nov 2018 #16

We cannot rest... llmart Nov 2018 #17

I did not say rest malaise Nov 2018 #20

i want to know when we dems gets to go out into the streets and collectively shout.. samnsara Nov 2018 #22

Nice malaise Nov 2018 #23

A Thanksgiving indeed. djacq Nov 2018 #24

They will be facing even greater numbers duforsure Nov 2018 #26

But it was JUST a tickle . . . Iliyah Nov 2018 #27

We should thank them for their lies about Pre-conditions malaise Nov 2018 #54

Repubs did better by taking 54 House and 8 Senate seats in 1994. wasupaloopa Nov 2018 #29

K&R... spanone Nov 2018 #30

title is in error...just saying over hyping doesn't help beachbum bob Nov 2018 #31

Running from Affordable Care Act. matelize Nov 2018 #47

Agree 100% malaise Nov 2018 #49

Last I heard watoos Nov 2018 #51

MSNBC last night had Torricelli on and he was clueless. They need to get rid of Pepsidog Nov 2018 #55

It would have been much larger without Gerrymandering GulfCoast66 Nov 2018 #56

Sorry, but it was far from the largest defeat. onenote Nov 2018 #59

Cool malaise Nov 2018 #65

Oh yeah! DesertRat Nov 2018 #62

Great! But can someone explain to me like I've a 6 yr old, in what way is the largest win/defeat? Honeycombe8 Nov 2018 #68

It is not the obnoxiousdrunk Nov 2018 #77

Hyperbole? Regardless, it was an unequivocal rebuke of Trump! I'll celebrate and get working Prof.Higgins Nov 2018 #70

Ditto malaise Nov 2018 #71

Back at ya, Malaise! Muchas gracias for your enjoyable DU posts. nt Prof.Higgins Nov 2018 #73

Mana to my ears! lunatica Nov 2018 #83

Just wait till 2020 when the American people workinclasszero Nov 2018 #72

Trump was correct. So much winning. guillaumeb Nov 2018 #76

It was more than just a WAVE yuiyoshida Nov 2018 #79

By what metric? NT Eric J in MN Nov 2018 #80

American democracy deals a blow to KGOP republican-fascism Achilleaze Nov 2018 #81