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Gothmog

(180,939 posts)
51. Societal savings are not tax revenues
Mon Dec 10, 2018, 10:37 AM
Dec 2018

I used to be a college debater and I know now studies such as the one cited in the OP prepared. It seems that there are some fairly aggressive assumptions used in this study and I doubt that these savings will be realized in the real world. There is a reason why sanders has totally and utterly failed to get his magical single payer plan adopted in the real world which is that policy makers cannot us magical or theoretical savings to pay for a program.

Prof. Krugman and I treat the so-called societal savings the same way that we both treat the magical economic growth that is supposed to be generated from GOP tax cuts. http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/01/19/weakened-at-bernies/?_r=0

On health care: leave on one side the virtual impossibility of achieving single-payer. Beyond the politics, the Sanders “plan” isn’t just lacking in detail; as Ezra Klein notes, it both promises more comprehensive coverage than Medicare or for that matter single-payer systems in other countries, and assumes huge cost savings that are at best unlikely given that kind of generosity. This lets Sanders claim that he could make it work with much lower middle-class taxes than would probably be needed in practice.

To be harsh but accurate: the Sanders health plan looks a little bit like a standard Republican tax-cut plan, which relies on fantasies about huge supply-side effects to make the numbers supposedly add up. Only a little bit: after all, this is a plan seeking to provide health care, not lavish windfalls on the rich — and single-payer really does save money, whereas there’s no evidence that tax cuts deliver growth. Still, it’s not the kind of brave truth-telling the Sanders campaign pitch might have led you to expect.

GOP tax cuts are not magical and never pay for themselves.

If you want this study to be taken seriously in the real world, then identify how the plan will be paid for. A government cannot spend magical savings and can only use tax revenues. The study identify societal savings which are nice but which are not tax revenues

The real world is a nice place. Magical savings are nice but cannot be used in the real world. sanders has utterly and completely failed to get his magical plan adopted anywhere including Vermont. sanders is careful to never tell anyone how he would pay for his program and cite amusing but worthless studies like the one in the OP. No governmental entity have accepted sanders plan because it would need a large raise in taxes.

The real world is a nice place.

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hubby was hoping HRC would get this going so he coud retire early... samnsara Dec 2018 #1
Bernie was the one pushing the idea for the very reason stated... InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2018 #3
Then why has sanders not gotten this magic plan adopted in Vermont Gothmog Dec 2018 #26
Where is all the hate for single payer coming from? hueymahl Dec 2018 #55
I live in the real world and the study cited in OP is essentially worthless Gothmog Dec 2018 #65
This couldn't happen soon enough. BigmanPigman Dec 2018 #2
The majority of Americans are for this. ZX86 Dec 2018 #4
Everyone in Washington is being paid off to keep the status quo. Poiuyt Dec 2018 #6
If your entire industry would pretty much evaporate overnight, wouldn't you lobby against it? n/t SFnomad Dec 2018 #9
True. But Congress should be doing what's best for the entire country Poiuyt Dec 2018 #10
I didn't say I didn't want to see it done SFnomad Dec 2018 #12
so? Hermit-The-Prog Dec 2018 #14
Ah ... the I've got mine, I don't care about you ... type response SFnomad Dec 2018 #18
nope Hermit-The-Prog Dec 2018 #19
not nope ... yep SFnomad Dec 2018 #20
45,000 Americans die annually due to lack of health coverage. Hassin Bin Sober Dec 2018 #21
And that doesn't change the fact that we'll need to do something for the people SFnomad Dec 2018 #22
Some of your concerns area51 Dec 2018 #38
Thank you for the link ... I'll read through more of it later SFnomad Dec 2018 #40
See post #42 as to what jumped out at me. TexasTowelie Dec 2018 #44
Where will you get 60 votes in the Senate to pass this program? Gothmog Dec 2018 #28
Of course you are right, it is hard hueymahl Dec 2018 #56
Trying is the first step to failure. ZX86 Dec 2018 #67
How wil this program be paid for? Gothmog Dec 2018 #27
The exact same way we pay for war, tax cuts for the rich, oil companies subsidies, etc. ZX86 Dec 2018 #66
Where is the Democratic Senate supermajority treestar Dec 2018 #54
You need Democrats to advocate and campaign on Medicare for All first. ZX86 Dec 2018 #68
What are we going to do with all those laid-off insurance execs and middlemen? erronis Dec 2018 #5
Try telling the majority of Americans that get their healthcare from their employer GulfCoast66 Dec 2018 #7
We know exactly what it will cost and how it will be paid for. Muskiteer Dec 2018 #15
Care to post a link? GulfCoast66 Dec 2018 #24
The study cited in the OP does not identify anyway to pay for this plan Gothmog Dec 2018 #30
Of course it doesn't. GulfCoast66 Dec 2018 #31
This study uses some aggressive assumptions to claim large societal savings Gothmog Dec 2018 #32
Societal savings are worth spit to most Americans budget. GulfCoast66 Dec 2018 #36
Then how will one pay for this program? Gothmog Dec 2018 #29
No one is saying we are going to "trash" employer health care hueymahl Dec 2018 #57
Another taxcut for the rich in the offing. Turbineguy Dec 2018 #8
How would that be different from the ACA with a Hortensis Dec 2018 #11
The current Medicare policy needs huge improvements. Muskiteer Dec 2018 #16
You pay a monthly premium for Part A? That's unusual. WillowTree Dec 2018 #23
I'll give you several really good reason hueymahl Dec 2018 #58
This is worth a lot of threads. Here's one from a few days ago with people on both sides, or Hoyt Dec 2018 #13
Medicare for All: Leaving No One Behind Muskiteer Dec 2018 #17
Societal savings are not tax revenues and this study does not show how to pay for this plan Gothmog Dec 2018 #25
What part of "overall burden of health spending would probably fall" dpibel Dec 2018 #34
What taxes do you propose? Gothmog Dec 2018 #37
You. Use. The. Money. That's. Already. Being. Spent. dpibel Dec 2018 #41
Let's say your monthly power bill leaps from $50/mo to $250/mo. ucrdem Dec 2018 #49
Societal savings are not tax revenues Gothmog Dec 2018 #51
Really, you used to be a college debater? hueymahl Dec 2018 #59
I am also an attorney and an inactive CPA Gothmog Dec 2018 #62
I understand your point. I don't agree, but I recognize it is an issue. hueymahl Dec 2018 #63
A public option is doable in the real world Gothmog Dec 2018 #64
How dare you bring facts into an internet discussion! GulfCoast66 Dec 2018 #35
Don't remind everyone, elleng Dec 2018 #33
PNHP area51 Dec 2018 #39
One area of potential abuse that I see in that link: TexasTowelie Dec 2018 #42
That is amazingly cynical dpibel Dec 2018 #45
Okay then, what do you believe will be done to control costs? TexasTowelie Dec 2018 #46
I think this is not a unique situation dpibel Dec 2018 #47
The per capita costs are lower in other countries than in America TexasTowelie Dec 2018 #48
How will this work in the real world Gothmog Dec 2018 #53
A single risk pool equals a health care system. Multiple risk pools equal Ron Green Dec 2018 #43
"Medicare for All could save the country $5.1 trillion over ten years" enid602 Dec 2018 #50
The savings identified in the amusing study in the OP are societal savings and not tax revenues Gothmog Dec 2018 #52
Tax enid602 Dec 2018 #60
Democrats do not control the Senate and trump would veto any attempt to undo this bill Gothmog Dec 2018 #61
Unbelievable. NurseJackie Dec 2018 #69
The sanders plan relies on tax increases to pay for it Gothmog Dec 2018 #70
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