Bernie will probably run, unless some other candidate credibly champions "Medicare for all".

[emulatorloo]

73. Sorry, Shanny: "The Myth of the Obama-Trump Voter"

Most of them were Republicans, and it was their Obama vote that was aberrational.



THE MYTH OF THE OBAMA-TRUMP VOTER

http://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2017/08/myth-obama-trump-voter

When you see surveys showing fairly high numbers of Obama-Trump voters, remember that such surveys are unreliable because too many people claim retroactively to have voted for the winning candidate. Once you control for this by re-interviewing voters whose votes were recorded contemporaneously, you find that 1)there weren’t all that many and 2)most of them were >>>>Republicans<<<< whose votes for Obama were aberrational, and would have been overwhelmingly likely to vote for the Republican nominee irrespective of who either party nominated:

<snip>

In 2008, a larger-than-usual number of Republican voters went with Obama during an extraordinary time, when the economy was in free fall and an incumbent Republican president was deeply unpopular. ANES polling found that 17 percent of Obama voters in 2008 had been for George W. Bush in 2004, compared with the 13 percent of Trump voters, the same survey found, who supported Obama at least once. These people aren’t Obama-Trump voters as much as they were Bush-Obama voters.

More at link.