Bernie Sanders Stumbled With Black Voters in 2016. Can He Do Better in 2020?

[Garrett78]

124. Bernie probably won't do as well in IA and NH this time around. And after NH, he's in trouble.

I wonder how many people have actually looked at the primary schedule. For Sanders, it's not going to be pretty after New Hampshire.

As I wrote elsewhere:

The 2016 primary was over by Super Tuesday, even though it was tailor-made for Sanders. He was in a 1-on-1 race against a polarizing Clinton, so he was *the* alternative for all those who had been conditioned to hate Hillary. He won't be so fortunate in 2020.

He probably won't even win New Hampshire this time around (there will be at least 1 other New Englander on the ballot). He probably won't come in 2nd in Iowa again either. He's fortunate in that we start with 2 states that don't remotely reflect our electorate, but that won't save him.

After New Hampshire, the primary schedule becomes very unfavorable for Sanders.

On top of all that, there will be fewer caucuses in 2020.

As for Biden, I don't think he'll be as successful as you think. There are reasons why Biden came up *way* short in his previous attempts (plural) to get nominated, and I suspect people will be reminded as to why that is. Like Sanders, Biden has a habit of putting his foot in his mouth. Not to mention his history with regard to the Thomas-Hill hearing, his age, etc.